Exploring how the leading AI country could achieve economic dominance through superexponential growth dynamics. Analysis of trade, technological diffusion, and space resource scenarios that could enable one nation to control >99% of global output post-AGI.| Forethought
Once AI can automate human labour, *physical* capabilities could grow explosively. Sufficiently advanced robotics could create a feedback loop where automated robot factories build more and better robot factories which build more and better robot factories. In this piece, we examine three stages of an **industrial explosion**: AI-directed human labour, fully automated physical labour, and nanotechnology. An industrial explosion would arise in a world which already has greatly increased cognit...| Forethought
Once AI can automate human labour, *physical* capabilities could grow explosively. Sufficiently advanced robotics could create a feedback loop where automated robot factories build more and better robot factories which build more and better robot factories. In this piece, we examine three stages of an **industrial explosion**: AI-directed human labour, fully automated physical labour, and nanotechnology. An industrial explosion would arise in a world which already has greatly increased cognit...| Forethought
The development of AI that is more broadly capable than humans will create a new and serious threat: *AI-enabled coups*. An AI-enabled coup could be staged by a very small group, or just a single person, and could occur even in established democracies. Sufficiently advanced AI will introduce three novel dynamics that significantly increase coup risk. Firstly, military and government leaders could fully replace human personnel with AI systems that are *singularly loyal* to them, eliminating th...| Forethought