How Much Power Will Frontier AI Training Demand in 2030? | Epoch AI
The power required to train the largest frontier models is growing by more than 2x per year, and is on trend to reaching multiple gigawatts by 2030.| Epoch AI
The power required to train the largest frontier models is growing by more than 2x per year, and is on trend to reaching multiple gigawatts by 2030.| Epoch AI
Epoch AI is a research institute investigating key trends and questions that will shape the trajectory and governance of Artificial Intelligence.| Epoch AI
We project how many notable AI models will exceed training compute thresholds. Model counts rapidly grow from 10 above 1e26 FLOP by 2026, to over 200 by 2030.| Epoch AI
Data movement bottlenecks limit LLM scaling beyond 2e28 FLOP, with a “latency wall” at 2e31 FLOP. We may hit these in ~3 years. Aggressive batch size scaling could potentially overcome these limits.| Epoch AI
