The FRED® Blog| fredblog.stlouisfed.org
In a previous FRED blog post, we discussed the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released by the FOMC this past June. In this blog post, we will again use ALFRED to compare the latest projections released in September 2025 with several of the recent projections for the following variables:| fredblog.stlouisfed.org
The labor force participation rate (LFPR)—the percentage of civilians employed or actively seeking work—has declined since the turn of the century as shown in our first FRED graph above. Previously, total LFPR had risen after an increase in women entering the workforce and a corresponding but smaller drop in men’s LFPR. Since 1990, women’s LFPR has stabilized but men’s LFPR has continued to decline at an average rate of 2.7 percentage points per decade.| FRED Blog
Learn about paid, full-time positions working directly with our economists.| www.stlouisfed.org
Innovative thinking: Our economists conduct world-class research, and our signature events connect experts from around the world. We cultivate a collegial environment and engage students early in their economics careers.| www.stlouisfed.org
Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases data on total nonfarm employment in two forms: seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted.| fredblog.stlouisfed.org
Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases data on total nonfarm employment in two forms: seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted.| fredblog.stlouisfed.org
The FRED® Blog| fredblog.stlouisfed.org
The FRED® Blog| fredblog.stlouisfed.org
Each quarter, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System releases the Financial Accounts of the United States (Z.1 tables). They include data on transactions and levels of financial assets and liabilities, by sector and financial instrument; and full balance sheets, including net worth, for households and nonprofit organizations, nonfinancial corporate businesses, and nonfinancial noncorporate businesses.| FRED Blog
Disposable income and spending growth tend to follow similar long-term trends, as shown in our FRED graph above. Over the past 15 years, real disposable personal income growth and real personal consumption expenditures growth have averaged just over 2.5% year-over-year.| FRED Blog
Recent research has linked macroeconomic shocks with household financial distress. For instance, José Mustre-del-Río, Juan M. Sánchez, Ryan Mather, and Kartik Athreya show that regions with a higher share of credit card delinquency had more severe responses to macroeconomic shocks during the past two recessions. This post takes the topic a step further by exploring whether delinquency rates for households and businesses can help anticipate recessions.| fredblog.stlouisfed.org