AI's biggest impact will come from broad labor automation—not R&D—driving economic growth through scale, not scientific breakthroughs.| epochai.substack.com
Our new article explores whether deployment of advanced AI systems could lead to growth rates ten times higher than those of today’s frontier economies.| Epoch AI
In recent months, the CEOs of leading AI companies have grown increasingly confident about rapid progress: OpenAI's Sam Altman: Shifted from saying in November "the rate of progress continues" to declaring in January "we are now confident we know how to build AGI" Anthropic's Dario Amodei: Stated in January "I'm more confident than I've ever been that we're close to powerful capabilities... in the next 2-3 years" Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis: Changed from "as soon as 10 years" in autumn t...| 80,000 Hours
AI’s biggest impact will come from broad labor automation—not R&D—driving economic growth through scale, not scientific breakthroughs.| Epoch AI