Back in January, I posted a call for "beta readers" [https://www.cold-takes.com/seeking-beta-readers/]: people who read early drafts of my posts and give honest feedback. The beta readers I picked up that way are one of my favorite things about having started Cold Takes. Basically, one of my| Cold Takes
The discovery and use of machinery may be … injurious to the labouring class, as some of their number will be thrown out of employment, and population will become redundant.| www.maximum-progress.com
Dark Mode Toggle| vitalik.eth.limo
"...it doesn't look like things have been normal for a long time... we just live on this rocket ship that took off 5 seconds ago, and nobody knows where it's going."| 80,000 Hours
Questions how long till models start autofeedbacking, like AlphaZero did? This suggests that it’s already happening the general timeline seems to be AGI around 2050 - how accurate is that? Core readings Four Background Claims - (Soares, 2015) General intelligence is a thing, and humans have it The alternative view is that intelligence is just a collection of useful modules (speech, dexterity, etc.) that can be used in different contexts to solve stuff.| ahiru.pl
love for Wave • why leave • where to • why there • what’s next| benkuhn.net
Perfect alignment just means that AI systems won’t want to deliberately disregard their designers' intent; it's not enough to ensure AI is good for the world.| Planned Obsolescence
In recent essays I’ve been making an affirmative case for an “economic independence” movement — that is, a concerted effort to empower families and communities to be less dependent on market and state provision.| brinklindsey.substack.com
"Explore a single individual deeply enough and truths about all individuals emerge." - Robert Caro| www.dwarkeshpatel.com
Effective altruism is a project that aims to find the best ways to help others, and put them into practice. It’s partly a research field, which aims to identify the world’s most pressing problems and| www.effectivealtruism.org
Longtermism is a philosophical view based on three key ideas: 1) future people matter just as much as those alive today; 2) the future could be vast; 3) we can reliably influence how it goes.| www.effectivealtruism.org
People are far better at their jobs than at anything else. Here are the best ways to help the most important century go well.| Cold Takes
Major AI companies can increase or reduce global catastrophic risks.| Cold Takes
Hypothetical stories where the world tries, but fails, to avert a global disaster.| Cold Takes
An overview of key potential factors (not just alignment risk) for whether things go well or poorly with transformative AI. https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-issues-not-just-misalignment-an-overview/| Cold Takes
Push AI forward too fast, and catastrophe could occur. Too slow, and someone else less cautious could do it. Is there a safe course?| Cold Takes
A few ways we might get very powerful AI systems to be safe.| Cold Takes
Four analogies for why "We don't see any misbehavior by this AI" isn't enough.| Cold Takes
Today's AI development methods risk training AIs to be deceptive, manipulative and ambitious. This might not be easy to fix as it comes up.| Cold Takes
The "most important century" series of blog posts argues that the 21st century could be the most important century ever for humanity, via the development of advanced AI systems that could dramatically speed up scientific and technological advancement, getting us more quickly than most people imagine to a deeply unfamiliar| Cold Takes
We scored mid-20th-century sci-fi writers on nonfiction predictions. They weren't great, but weren't terrible either. Maybe doing futurism works fine.| Cold Takes
How big a deal could AI misalignment be? About as big as it gets.| Cold Takes
An outline of how I form detailed opinions on topics: by exploring hypotheses and writing about them, not by undirected reading.| Cold Takes
