This report evaluates the likelihood of ‘explosive growth’, meaning > 30% annual growth of gross world product (GWP), occurring by 2100. Although frontier GDP/capita growth has been constant for 150 years, over the last 10,000 years GWP growth has accelerated significantly. Endogenous growth theory, together with the empirical fact of the demographic transition, can explain […]| Open Philanthropy
Little is as important for the world’s future and our own lives as how this history continues.| Our World in Data
Many believe there is a real chance that human-level AI will be developed within the next decades, and some believe that it will exist much sooner.| Our World in Data