"...it doesn't look like things have been normal for a long time... we just live on this rocket ship that took off 5 seconds ago, and nobody knows where it's going."| 80,000 Hours
The long view of economic history says we're in the midst of a huge, unsustainable acceleration. What happens next?| Cold Takes
PASTA: Process for Automating Scientific and Technological Advancement.| Cold Takes
Longtermism is a philosophical view based on three key ideas: 1) future people matter just as much as those alive today; 2) the future could be vast; 3) we can reliably influence how it goes.| www.effectivealtruism.org
What the best available forecasting methods say - and why there's no "expert field" for this topic.| Cold Takes
An overview of key potential factors (not just alignment risk) for whether things go well or poorly with transformative AI. https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-issues-not-just-misalignment-an-overview/| Cold Takes
The "most important century" series of blog posts argues that the 21st century could be the most important century ever for humanity, via the development of advanced AI systems that could dramatically speed up scientific and technological advancement, getting us more quickly than most people imagine to a deeply unfamiliar| Cold Takes