Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of h…| FiveThirtyEight
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.| www.natesilver.net
There aren’t many changes from 2020 — but here are the exceptions.| www.natesilver.net
The presidential model will be available to Silver Bulletin subscribers beginning in June.| www.natesilver.net
There's no shortage of explanations for why young voters are unhappy with Biden — without having to unskew the polls.| www.natesilver.net
Getting meta about my plans for 2024.| www.natesilver.net