To communicate risks, we often turn to stories. Nuclear weapons conjure stories of mutually assured destruction, briefcases with red buttons, and nuclear winter. Climate change conjures stories of extreme weather, cities overtaken by rising sea levels, and crop failures. Pandemics require little imagination after COVID, but were previously the subject| Bounded Regret
I previously discussed the capabilities we might expect from future AI systems, illustrated through GPT2030, a hypothetical successor of GPT-4 trained in 2030. GPT2030 had a number of advanced capabilities, including superhuman programming, hacking, and persuasion skills, the ability to think more quickly than humans and to learn quickly by| Bounded Regret