Last year we published an article about the calculation of free cash flow and the alternative approaches used by Amazon. That original article is still very relevant; recent accounting changes have prompted us to publish an update. New accounting rules effective in 2019 change and improve the data available to you under both IFRS and US GAAP when making the adjustments we advocate. We explain these changes, provide updated free cash flow measures for Amazon, based upon their 2019 financial st...| The Footnotes Analyst
Financial reporting, equity analysis and equity valuation insights for investors| The Footnotes Analyst
Pension accounting can produce some odd results, such as companies that report a pension surplus, but which still make ‘deficit reduction’ cash contributions. This illustrates an underlying problem in financial reporting where pension assets and liabilities may not reflect the true economic position of the sponsoring company. We think the increasing closure of defined benefit schemes to new accrual, and the growing trend to de-risk, including the use of pension buy-ins and buy-outs, makes...| The Footnotes Analyst
Stock-based compensation can be difficult. Two approaches to measurement, valuation uncertainty, frequent adjustments for changes in estimates (including sometimes the stock price), and a dilutive effect in addition to an expense, all contribute this being a topic many investors try their best to avoid. Investors are not helped by inadequate stock-based compensation disclosures. Some companies go further than required by accounting standards, such as Swiss bank UBS, whose helpful additional a...| The Footnotes Analyst
Companies that use property assets in their business may adopt very different real-estate strategies. Ownership versus leasing and the choice of different lease structures can significantly impact key performance and valuation metrics. We show that separating the operating and property components, using ‘Opco-Propoc’ analysis, improves comparability. Some investors argue that the new IFRS 16 lease accounting reduces comparability. We disagree. In our view IFRS 16 reveals important differe...| The Footnotes Analyst
US GAAP and IFRS present the effects pension leverage differently in financial statements, notably leverage arising from pension fund asset allocation. This complicates the comparison and interpretation of performance measures and valuation multiples. We use Delta Air Lines to illustrate the positive impact of the US GAAP ‘expected return’ approach on reported profit, including the effect of optimistic return assumptions. If Delta had applied the IFRS ‘net interest’ approach we estima...| The Footnotes Analyst
The mark-to-market of commodity supply contracts, such as power purchase agreements and related derivatives, can create significant volatility in profit and loss. But are these gains and losses meaningful, and should you remove them from performance measures as many companies do in their non-GAAP reporting? There are 4 methods of accounting for power purchase agreements and, confusingly, you could find all of them applied by one company. We explain how each method works, when fair value gains...| The Footnotes Analyst
Whether you view Bitcoin as a modern-day tulip bulb mania bubble, that will inevitably burst, or an unstoppable development in finance, one thing is certain, companies are increasingly purchasing this asset. But how do Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies affect reported financial position and performance metrics? There are no accounting rules dedicated to cryptocurrencies. Under current US GAAP and, usually under IFRS, intangible asset accounting is applied. We use the reporting by MicroStrate...| The Footnotes Analyst
A change in accounting, such as the introduction of IFRS 16, does not in itself change underlying economics. It follows that equity values derived from DCF models should also be unchanged. However, the IFRS 16 lease accounting changes seem to be creating some confusion. We explain how to correctly adjust your DCF calculations and provide an interactive pre and post lease capitalisation model to illustrate. IFRS 16 makes DCF analysis easier and less prone to error; leaving your model based on ...| The Footnotes Analyst
Once every decade or so accountants fret over goodwill and reconsider how best to report it in financial statements - should it be amortised, impaired, amortised and impaired, or something else? There is no obvious right answer, positions are entrenched, and debate usually gets nowhere. The problem is that neither amortisation nor impairment provides much help for investors. The debate needs to move on to what really matters – reporting about business value. There are already encouraging mo...| The Footnotes Analyst
Some 20 years ago the dot-com bubble was in full swing. A feature of many technology companies at the time, and arguably a factor contributing to the bubble, was not expensing the significant amounts of stock options granted to employees. Today stock-based compensation is included in IFRS and GAAP profit measures. However, many companies still exclude this item from key performance metrics provided to investors. Surely it is time for this practice to stop? We use the alternative performance m...| The Footnotes Analyst
Limited disaggregation of income and expense items with different characteristics impair investors’ ability to assess and forecast performance. Recent proposals by the IASB for a new disaggregation principle and related disclosures of ‘unusual’ items will help. However, in our view, they do not go far enough. The IASB also proposes to include management alternative performance measures (non-GAAP or non-IFRS) within audited financial statements. We welcome this. Additional subtotals can ...| The Footnotes Analyst
Do you invest in both IFRS and US GAAP reporters? If so, then in recent financial statements you might have noticed differences in the accounting for leases. This could result in a significant lack of comparability in key metrics. Both IFRS and US GAAP now better reflect the economics of leasing and so the old adjustments to capitalise operating leases are no longer necessary. Unfortunately, you now need to make other adjustments to get comparability between US and IFRS reporters. We expla...| The Footnotes Analyst
The inconsistent and incomplete recognition of intangible assets in financial statements distorts performance metrics. Invested capital and profit are understated - to what extent depends on the business dynamics and nature and source of investment in intangibles. The combined effect is generally to overstate return on capital. With the ever-increasing importance of intangible assets, few companies are unaffected by this accounting problem. We suggest adjustments to help your analysis, provid...| The Footnotes Analyst
A hidden conservative bias in the form of ‘prudent’ reserving has previously been a common feature of insurance accounting. This practice has made analysing the performance of insurance companies extremely difficult for investors. Hidden prudence is eliminated under the new IFRS 17 and the allowance for insurance risk in measuring liabilities should be fully transparent. However, considering some recent company presentations, we wonder whether this benefit for investors will be fully real...| The Footnotes Analyst
Stock-based compensation can have a significant impact on the effective tax rate. For US companies the effect is driven to a large extent by changes in the stock price. In 2021 this reduced the effective tax rate for many companies; however, in 2022 you could well see the reverse. We use Netflix to explain the effect of stock-based compensation on cash taxes and deferred tax adjustments. The accounting is complex and made even more challenging for investors by differences between IFRS and US ...| The Footnotes Analyst
Non-GAAP measurers, but they are also controversial. Some argue that certain non-GAAP adjustments are unacceptable and should not be permitted. This recently happened to US company MicroStrategy, where the SEC required it to amend the presentation of cryptocurrency gains and losses. We do not agree with the SEC approach and believe MicroStrategy gives valid reasons for its cryptocurrency non-GAAP adjustment. We have less sympathy with other aspects of the company’s non-GAAP earnings calcula...| The Footnotes Analyst
IFRS 17 will result in significant changes to insurance company financial statements as of next year. Benefits for investors include a more relevant top line, consistent profit recognition, source of earnings analysis, updated assumptions, value of new business disclosures and an end to confusing asset-based discount rates. We think IFRS 17 will make insurance financial statements accessible to the broader investment community rather than just insurance specialists. However, compromises and o...| The Footnotes Analyst
Changes to convertible bond accounting under US GAAP will mean higher reported debt but, paradoxically, a lower (and sometimes zero) interest expense. In our view, the resulting increase in earnings is artificial, fails to faithfully represent the cost of convertible financing and will not benefit investors. The recent surge in convertible issuance, and the use of so-called convertible bond hedges, may have more to do with favourable accounting than favourable economics. We use the recent con...| The Footnotes Analyst
Companies are continuously reshuffling their business portfolio by either spinning off assets (GlaxoSmithKline, Vivendi) or increasing their share in existing businesses (BMW, Siemens Energy). However, the M&A accounting applied to these transactions can produce some unusual and potentially confusing effects. In 2022, German luxury car manufacturer BMW increased its stake in its Chinese joint venture BMW Brilliance from 50% to 75%. Surprisingly, this produced a gain in profit and loss (even t...| The Footnotes Analyst
Investors are paying increased attention to risks and opportunities arising from sustainability related issues, particularly the effects of climate change and related ‘net-zero’ commitments made by many companies. Some sustainability risks directly affect financial statements, but you need to look further when considering inputs for equity valuation. Risk affects different aspects of equity valuation. It is well known that risk factors affect the discount rate, but the impact on other val...| The Footnotes Analyst
We often see investors using cash flow metrics, particularly cash from operations, as a measure of performance. Cash flow may even be preferred to profit because it is supposedly more reliable and less subject to management judgement and potential manipulation … “cash is a fact, but profit is an opinion”. We explain why cash flow may not provide the insights into performance that some investors expect, and how cash flow can often be managed even more freely than profit. Cash flow is nev...| The Footnotes Analyst
In many transactions the amount payable may not be not known until sometime after the related asset, liability, income or expense is recognised in financial statements. In some cases, the accounting for this ‘variable consideration’ is clearly specified by IFRS. However, in others, including the purchase of fixed assets, companies are free to adopt different approaches. Intangible assets arising from football player transfers are a good example of where companies can apply different accou...| The Footnotes Analyst
Following the 2008 financial crisis, loan loss provisioning was changed to reflect ‘expected’ losses rather than ‘incurred’ losses. This made the impairment reserves of banks more responsive to changes in credit quality, but it also introduced a distorting day 2 effect. Under US GAAP most expected loan losses are charged to profit up front. This ‘prudent’ approach may be liked by banking regulators, but it can produce performance metrics that are confusing for investors. The disto...| The Footnotes Analyst
Residual income based valuations are a useful alternative to the more common discounted cash flow. While both approaches must produce the same answer for a given set of assumptions and value drivers, we think it can be easier to derive realistic inputs using the residual income approach, considering the focus on return on investment. However, residual income also poses challenges. The approach requires ‘clean surplus’ accounting, return inputs must allow for accounting distortions due to ...| The Footnotes Analyst
Investors require financial data that is comparable over time, comparable within a single set of financial statements, and comparable between companies. Unfortunately, this is not always the case. We explain how differences between IFRS and US GAAP, accounting policy options, differing interpretations and accounting estimates, can all reduce comparability. Convergence and comparability should be a priority for the IASB and FASB. Present consultations by the IASB and FASB regarding the account...| The Footnotes Analyst