By Daniel Kokotajlo, 2 July 2019 Figure 0: The “four main determinants of forecasting accuracy.” Experience and data from the Good Judgment Project (GJP) provide important evidence about how to make accurate predictions. For a concise summary of the evidence and what we learn from it, see this page. For a review of Superforecasting, the...| AI Impacts
Winners and takeaways from last year's prediction contest| www.astralcodexten.com
'Tis the season for prognosticating the upcoming year| benjamincongdon.me
Effective altruism is a project that aims to find the best ways to help others, and put them into practice. It’s partly a research field, which aims to identify the world’s most pressing problems and| www.effectivealtruism.org
