What happens when you adapt the scoring system of the Good Judgment Project to your intuitions at work?| Commoncog
Why it's useful to study the results of the Good Judgment Project in service of building expertise.| Commoncog
A couple of things to keep in mind when faced with the deluge of predictions to welcome 2020.| Commoncog
David Epstein's mediocre book argues the merits of being a generalist. Instead of reading it, read this and subscribe to Epstein's newsletter.| Commoncog
Is it really worth it to generate well-calibrated probabilistic predictions? Or would you do better if you assume that all prediction is too difficult, and act as if this were the case?| Commoncog
One of the great paradoxes of business is that management is prediction, but entrepreneurship ... isn't. What a theory of expertise in entrepreneurship tells us about creating new things in business.| Commoncog