But maybe live-caller polls aren’t the gold standard anymore.| FiveThirtyEight
Based on what most of us would have thought possible a year or two ago, the election of Donald Trump was one of the most shocking events in American political h…| FiveThirtyEight
Tuesday was another pretty good day of polling for Donald Trump. It’s also not an easy day to characterize given the large number of polls published. You could …| FiveThirtyEight
Want these election updates emailed to you right when they’re published? Sign up here. As I wrote last week, Hillary Clinton is probably going to become the nex…| FiveThirtyEight
The 2020 primary season finally ended last month, meaning there have now been 56 statewide elections (presidential primaries, state-level primaries and even the…| FiveThirtyEight
Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of h…| FiveThirtyEight
But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens.| FiveThirtyEight
The fight for D.C. statehood is hardly new. It’s been decades since Congress first introduced legislation to make Washington, D.C., a state, and 27 years since …| FiveThirtyEight
Before this year’s NBA season started, I had a conversation with a Golden State Warriors fan. He was excited about his team and was keen to explain its success:…| FiveThirtyEight
Let’s give a big round of applause to the pollsters. Measuring public opinion is, in many ways, harder than ever — and yet, the polling industry just had one of…| FiveThirtyEight