Firing the BLS commissioner won’t prevent the effects of tariffs. But it will reduce American economic leadership and increase uncertainty for businesses, workers and investors.| www.natesilver.net
Or will the vibe soon shift back to the left?| www.natesilver.net
Challenger Mode has been working for her. But running as the frontrunner can be harder.| www.natesilver.net
It barely pays attention to the polls. And its results just don't make a lot of sense.| www.natesilver.net
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.| www.natesilver.net
The political landscape has shifted since 2012, and a turnout-over-persuasion strategy may not work for Democrats.| www.natesilver.net
Voters constantly hear that the world is in a state of crisis. It isn't a surprise that they're kicking out incumbents.| www.natesilver.net