An update of the economic forecasts generated by the NY Fed's dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model--forecast and its change since March 2025.| Liberty Street Economics
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This post presents an update of the economic forecasts generated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We describe very briefly our forecast and its change since March 2023.| Liberty Street Economics
This post presents an update of the economic forecasts generated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We describe very briefly our forecast and its change since December 2022. Note that this forecast was produced on February 27, and hence should be viewed as reflecting the state of the economy before the current banking sector turmoil.| Liberty Street Economics
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The March 2025 update of the economic forecasts generated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model.| Liberty Street Economics
The authors present an update of the economic forecasts generated by the New York Fed's dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model.| Liberty Street Economics
This post uses the New York Fed DSGE model to simulate how interest rates, output, and inflation would have performed had the Fed followed an average inflation targeting (AIT)-type reaction function since the second quarter of 2021, when inflation began to rise—instead of keeping the federal funds rate at the zero lower bound until March 2022, and then raising it aggressively thereafter. The authors show that actual policy was more accommodative in 2021 than implied by the AIT reaction func...| Liberty Street Economics
The December 2024 update of the economic forecasts generated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model.| Liberty Street Economics
An update of the economic forecasts generated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model.| Liberty Street Economics
The authors present an update of the economic forecasts generated by the New York Fed’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model.| Liberty Street Economics
The authors present an update of the economic forecasts generated by the New York Fed's dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model.| Liberty Street Economics