Discover the 2025 economic outlook for small businesses: growth & inflation trends, and how SBA helps improve access to capital.| AmPac Business Capital
While income growth and inflation remain stubbornly faster than pre-pandemic, measures of joblessness and employment may be deteriorating.| theovershoot.co
In early 2025, as markets rallied to new highs, we warned that divergence across key sectors signaled a looming correction. Now, with all major indexes in a technical bear market and bond market dysfunction escalating, we explore why the Fed may not be able to prevent deeper losses — and how investors should position for what’s next.| IO Fund
Explore how slowing growth and inflation are impacting crypto markets and traditional assets. Learn how to see the crypto signals.| tastycrypto
In recent days, there has been a good deal of discussion in the business press and on economics Bluesky about the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank’s “nowcast” of GDP for the first quarter of 2025. The suggestion is that the US may already be entering a recession.| J. W. Mason
Imports of gold bars turn out to be surprisingly important. Plus: some thoughts on the February jobs numbers.| theovershoot.co
This week the American consumer got spooked, and the Atlanta Fed said the economy is shrinking. Plus, Trump antitrust officials move through Congress. And Jim Cramer asks, "Where are all the mergers?"| www.thebignewsletter.com
A much stronger-than-expected September jobs report will push mortgage rates up significantly today. Debate about Federal Reserve rate cuts will now shift from choosing between a pace of 25 bps or 50 bps cuts each meeting, to choosing between 25 bps each meeting or 25 bps every other meeting. Ultimately, the answer will be determined by data in upcoming months, clarifying how weak the labor market is.| Redfin Real Estate News
Ray Fair at Yale runs one of the oldest models to use economic data to predict US election results. It predicts vote shares for President and the US House as a function of real GDP growth during th…| Economist Writing Every Day
So is Trump's, but an extra four years makes a difference, and it could be the difference in the election.| www.natesilver.net