What if it works? Regular readers will know that this has long been our favourite question to ask central bankers and government policymakers since the implementation of “inflation” igniting strate…| Convex Strategies
“Too often, the potential range of behavior of complex systems had to be guessed from a small set of data. When a system worked normally, staying within a narrow range of parameters, engineers made…| Convex Strategies
Nassim Taleb introduced the concept of Wittgenstein’s ruler in the first book of his Incerto series, “Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in Markets”. He elaborated on the c…| Convex Strategies
“I have been working in or around central banks for over fifty years. To my regret, as I look back on my career, I can now see that I was often guided by an evolving set of false beliefs about how …| Convex Strategies
“To ensure that a central bank does not prioritise the solvency of the sovereign over its primary mandate of price stability, the European treaties prohibit monetary state financing. In its public …| Convex Strategies