September feels like a time for recommitment. A chance to pick things back up, or begin again with a little more focus. The post Turning of Attention appeared first on thejaymo.| thejaymo
Utilizing AI’s evidence-streamlining capabilities, a new study (with “Grok” literally positioned as the lead author) summarizes a few of the key counterpoints undermining the CO2-drives-climate narrative.| NoTricksZone
The BackerKit campaign ends on Friday.| TrekMovie.com
A recent question involved the Pigeonhole Principle; we’ll start with an older question to introduce the idea, then the new question and a few old ones. Rest areas on a path We’ll start with this, from September 2020: I am required to solve the following problem by use of the Pigeon-hole Principle: A bicycle path …Pigeonhole Principle I: Paths, Penguins, and Points Read More »| The Math Doctors
Use this model to derive ‘target’ enterprise value multiples that are consistent with specified value drivers, including measures of growth, return on investment, margins and capital intensity. The model is based on an underlying 2-stage DCF methodology. We explain its derivation, the key assumptions and how to select appropriate value driver inputs.| The Footnotes Analyst
Despite some pro-Palestinian participants in the audience shouting encouragement, after the model finished walking the first part of the runway, she was| www.israelhayom.com
Claude 4 achieves 72.7% on SWE-bench Verified, surpassing OpenAI's latest models. After 24 hours of intensive testing with real-world coding challenges, here's what this breakthrough means for developers.| forgecode.dev
(This is a repost of a document living here, but I am putting it here for backup's sake. Originally a joint effort with Murali Suriar, with input from Matt Brown, Liz Fong-Jones, and many others. The intended audience of this doc is the recently laid-off, or those who| RelyAbility Blog
Today, I believe we cannot successfully answer several key questions about SRE. Let's start with the most important one: how can we understand what reliability customers want and need?| RelyAbility Blog
Are you trying to identify what is ‘priced in’ to the current stock price or to work out a terminal value in a DCF analysis? A target valuation multiple calculation may be the answer. We present a simple interactive model. Many dismiss valuation multiples as being too simplistic; however, multiples are just DCF in disguise. We demonstrate that you can derive a price earnings ratio with the same value drivers as you would use in a discounted equity cash flow model.| The Footnotes Analyst
Scientists have counter-intuitively determined that a melting Antarctic ice sheet serves to mitigate global warming.| NoTricksZone
Quiz: Is your agency a Lifestyle business or an Equity (high-growth) business? See how your agency growth style impacts your day-to-day and long-term plans.| Sakas & Company
Let’s say that you want to help a teacher teach differently. Or that you want to teach differently yourself. Perhaps you’re pursuing a more efficient entry routine, more succinct questions, or clearer explanations of key points. What helps a teacher to change? We might review the evidence, plan change, practise it – and examine a […]| Improving Teaching
Ahmad Al-Dahle shared a glimpse into Meta’s massive AI project—training Llama 4 on a cluster with over 100,000 H100 GPUs! This scale is pushing AI boundaries and advancing both product capabilities and open-source contributions. Great to visit one of our data centers where we’re training Llama 4 models on a cluster bigger than 100K H100’s! […] The post Llama-4 appeared first on Llama LLM.| Llama LLM
WordLlama is a utility for NLP and word embedding that repurposes components from large language models (LLMs) to generate efficient and compact word representations, similar to GloVe, Word2Vec, or FastText. It starts by extracting the token embedding codebook from a state-of-the-art LLM (e.g., LLaMA3 70B) and trains a small, context-free model within a general-purpose embedding […] The post WordLLama appeared first on Llama LLM.| Llama LLM
Whether you’re generating slop or code, underneath it’s the same shoggoth with a smiley face.| adactio.com
The 2025 first quarter GDP data came in slightly bad: negative 0.3%. I think the number is a bit hard to interpret right now, but it’s hard to spin away a negative number. A big factor pullin…| Economist Writing Every Day
A lot has happened this month, especially with the releases of new flagship models like GPT-4.5 and Llama 4. But you might have noticed that reactions to the...| Sebastian Raschka, PhD
https://hidekazu-konishi.com/entry/amazon_bedrock_models_as_of_2024.html Amazon Bedrock Models as of 2024 - An Analysis of the Comprehensive Model Catalog.| Hidekazu Konishi - Profile / Biography | hidekazu-konishi.com
(if you haven’t seen our 3-candidate-preferred explorer for the 2018 Victorian state election, click here) Preferential voting and the three-candidate-preferred Historically, the outcome of Australian elections is often summed up using some version of the two-party pendulum, where seats are ordered based on the margin between the final two candidates (the two-candidate-preferred, or 2cp) asContinue Reading... How our Model of Preference Distribution Works (and How Accurate Is it?)Continue R...| Armarium Interreta
A collection of details from the final forecast and random findings, each too small for a separate piece. Normally, we’d have an Upside/Downside piece, but Rebekah’s run into some technical difficulties – turns out multiverse travel isn’t as easy as the Marvel Cinematic Universe makes it look. I think the broad picture will be familiarContinue Reading... Federal Election 2022 MiscellanyContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
Voting Intention In The Final Week Currently, Labor maintains a lead of about 54% on a 2-party-preferred (2pp) basis against the Coalition. This has gone up and down a little in recent weeks but the overall picture remains the same – Labor’s 2-party lead remains about double what it was in 2019, and a muchContinue Reading... A Repeat of the 2019 Polling Error Would Still See Labor AheadContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
A follow-up to our piece on improving uniform swing, prompted by an interesting question about the problem of seat realignments.| Armarium Interreta
How data from older elections can help, and why our forecast differs from a uniform swing in its prognostications for Colton and Hartley.| Armarium Interreta
We’ve built a forecast for the 2022 South Australian state election. Some background on the election, and how our model works.| Armarium Interreta
(My analysis in this piece builds on the excellent work done by Dr Kevin Bonham on the same topic, linked here; it is very much worth a read) If you’ve read articles dissecting opinion polls in the media, you’ve almost certainly come across a statement of one of the following forms: Alongside strong results onContinue Reading... Approval Ratings Are Rubbish, But They Have ValueContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
In Australian politics, there’s often some discussion over whether a certain 2-party swing would be enough for one side or another to win a majority, with reference to the electoral pendulum prior to the election. Such a pendulum lines up all the Labor-held seats on one side, and all the Coalition-held seats on another, andContinue Reading... How Predictive is the Pre-Election Pendulum?Continue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
Veteran watchers of politics may be familiar with the old saying, “It’s the economy, stupid”. It’s a saying coined by the campaign of a challenger who unseated a seemingly-formidable incumbent amidst an unexpected recession, encapsulating the simple theory that voters tend to reward governments who have presided over a strong economy while tossing out thoseContinue Reading... How Much Impact Does The Economy Have on Australian Federal Elections?Continue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
Note: a fair bit more technical than usual, if you want to skip to what voting intention may have looked like with an honeymoon-adjusted left-anchored model in 2016-2019, click here. If you just want to read the summary for what this means for polling in the current (2019 – 2021/2022) term, click here. My interestContinue Reading... Anchoring, Honeymoons, and Voting Intention in the 2016 – 2019 TermContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
An analysis of how the seat vote model in Meridiem performed, and some analysis of possible areas of improvement for election modelling.| Armarium Interreta
What ended up happening Although there are still some votes to go, at this point, all districts in the 2021 Western Australian state election have pretty much been “decided” – i.e. the remaining vote to be counted is very unlikely to change the winner of the seat. Labor looks to have won 53 of theContinue Reading... How Meridiem performed – Part IContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
If you haven’t had a look at our Western Australian 2021 forecast yet, it’s up and running here. Forecasts are useful little devils – they help to translate certain pieces of evidence (e.g. a poll saying Labor is ahead 68-32) into useful information (e.g. that means that given historical accuracy, Labor has a greater thanContinue Reading... How we intend to judge our WA 2021 forecastContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
Introduction (I promise this part is relevant) Let’s say you live somewhere in a rural town in the middle of the Australian outback. You come across a random person ranting about how there’s a giant arctic wolf running around and eating people. Do you believe them? Do you take shelter immediately and start checking forContinue Reading... Arctic Wolves in PollingContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
Introduction Welcome to our first Australian election forecast! If you haven’t seen it already, check out the forecast page over here. (if you want to skip the background and commentary, click here) Western Australians go to the polls on 13/March/2021 to elect a new state government, and the result is considered to be all butContinue Reading... How our Western Australia state model works (Meridiem 2021)Continue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
When removing multi-table inheritance in Django, you need to remove your Model's bases from the migration's model state. This post goes into detail on when this comes up and how to resolve it.| Better Simple
Fitting a Support Vector Machine (SVM) Model - Learn how to fit a support vector machine model and use your model to score new data In Part 6, Part 7, Part 9, Part 10, and Part 11 of this series, we fit a logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting and neural network model to the Home Equity data we saved in Part 4. In this post we will fit a support vector machine (SVM) model to the same data to predict who is likely to go delinquent on their home equity loan and we ...| SAS Users
Do you invest in both IFRS and US GAAP reporters? If so, then in recent financial statements you might have noticed differences in the accounting for leases. This could result in a significant lack of comparability in key metrics. Both IFRS and US GAAP now better reflect the economics of leasing and so the old adjustments to capitalise operating leases are no longer necessary. Unfortunately, you now need to make other adjustments to get comparability between US and IFRS reporters. We expla...| The Footnotes Analyst
If a valuation multiple, such as EV/EBITDA, is used to calculate a DCF terminal value, the multiple should reflect expected business dynamics at the end of the explicit forecast period and not at the valuation date. This is best achieved by basing the exit multiple on forward-priced multiples for the selected group of comparable companies. We explain and illustrate with an interactive model the use of forward-priced multiples in DCF. We also discuss the choice of multiple (including why EV/EB...| The Footnotes Analyst
Redefining Stammering, Sam Simpson| Redefining Stammering
Rewrite rules are organized via a graphical syntax into discrete-time simulations which can be understood as agent-based models. This representation is transparent, compositional, and serializable.| blog.algebraicjulia.org
In the previous post, we defined a general approach for composing dynamical systems based on the mathematics of operads and operad algebras. In this post, we explore an undirected composition syntax in which dynamical systems compose by sharing resources. We also get a taste of hierarchical composition, i.e. composing systems which are themselves composites.| blog.algebraicjulia.org
Informally, many models are specified as compositions of primitive dynamical systems. In this series of posts, we make this modular specification formal by introducing a computing framework from composing open dynamical systems. In this first post of the series, we examine directed theories for composition.| blog.algebraicjulia.org
Following up the original post, we explain how modeling is simplified by a shift in perspective from composing structured cospans in categorical style to composing structured multicospans in operadic style.| blog.algebraicjulia.org
Structured cospans are a categorical method for turning closed systems into open ones. We show how structured cospans of Petri nets can be used to construct complex epidemiological models in a compositional way.| blog.algebraicjulia.org
What is a scientific model? This post considers how mathematical logic and category theory can help us understand scientific models, and how AlgebraicJulia aims to build modeling frameworks based on this understanding.| blog.algebraicjulia.org
As the presidential race finishes out the last two weeks, it’s clearly a close race. In the past I have recommended prediction markets, and right now these are giving Trump about 60% odds. Th…| Economist Writing Every Day
This is a topic of intermediate complexity in SLOs. If you are coming to this cold, we recommend you read a few other pieces about SLOs first, then this will make a fair bit more sense to you. SLOs, as you may know, have a dual nature: they have both| RelyAbility Blog
Read about the evolution of Catwalk, Grab's model serving platform, from its inception to its current state. Discover how it has evolved to meet the needs of Grab's growing machine learning model serving requirements.| Grab Tech
Maria Klaumann reflects on her career so far after being named The Daily Front Row's Breakthrough Model of the Year.| Daily Front Row
ENGIE, a world-leading company in energy and low-carbon services, today inaugurated its new photovoltaic park in Huévar del Aljarafe, Seville. With a capacity of 72 megawatts (MW) and an investment…| Solar Now
Recently we at Stanza have been exploring operational data, and it's been really exciting to bring techniques and ideas from other domains into our domain - production systems generally, traffic, alerting, cloud costs, etc. The thing we’ve been looking at most recently is a thing called Benford’s Law.| RelyAbility Blog
This week I was in Turku, Finland for the annual congress of the European Society for Evolutionary Biology. I presented in the symposium on mathematical models in evolutionary biology organized by Guy Cooper, Matishalin Patel, Tom Scott, and Asher Leeks. It was a fun. It was also a big challenge given the short ten minute […]| Theory, Evolution, and Games Group
For an event this sensational, quips like how Nada Adelle net worth and lifestyle will change after marrying her billionaire fiancé have popped on the web. What does she have to say about it?| Celebz Net Worth
Self-hosted sabotage as a form of collective action.| adactio.com
Learn how to fit a random forest and use your model to score new data.| SAS Users
This year, for the fourth time in a row, the LEN-Eisenbahner from Leipzig (Germany) organized one of the biggest l-gauge meetings in Europe. Where builders from all around the world come together to form one of the biggest community layouts that the community has ever seen. But what makes this event so special? And what … Continue reading BAUSPIELBAHN-TREFFEN (BSBT) the place to be for L-gauge railway fans in Europe.→| Brick Model Railroader
Whether you're just starting to test your printer or working to refine it to perfection, we have all the best test and calibration modules you need.| OctoEverywhere Blog
Software cannot be shown to be stable, and so it’s safer to assume it isn’t.| RelyAbility Blog
Atmosphere Models| degenerateconic.com
Comments/Insights/Contributions from * Niall Murphy * Toby Burress * Štěpán Davidovič * Sal Furino (Note that when I say "we" below, I don't specifically intend to speak for these fine people, I'm just using the academic "we". -Niall) Introduction If you don’t already know about SLOs, we can recommend Alex Hidalgo’| RelyAbility Blog
Some businesses are recognizing that tradtional services may be redundant. We found this out the hard way, while ordering a pizza.| blog.benwinding
For WPC: Get in touch if you’re in Oslo and want to do some model shoots.| Cardinal Guzman
Chicago Beyond's Seven Inequities framework outlines seven ways in which power dynamics can bias research agendas and produce misrepresentative results.| Organizing Engagement
Participatory Budgeting is a civic-engagement process that enables community members to decide how to spend funding from a district or municipal budget.| Organizing Engagement
Participatory action research and evaluation intentionally include the people most affected by an inquiry in the design and execution of the process.| Organizing Engagement
The Dual Capacity-Building Framework for Family-School Partnerships describes the essential elements of effective family-school engagement and collaboration.| Organizing Engagement
The Parent Leadership Indicators Framework describes indicators that can be used for participatory evaluations of parent leadership organizations.| Organizing Engagement