[Ottawa – June 10, 2025] In our latest poll, we examine a the post-election rebound in national confidence, unity, and trust, as well as the lasting impacts of polarization and disinformation.| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa - April 11, 2025] As the election passes the midpoint and the debate milestones, it appears to have stabilized in a new more competitive eight-point Liberal lead (although we registered a 10-point lead in a concurrent online survey using our probability-based research panel, Probit). The Conservatives have experienced a modest recovery and, at 37.3 points, the party is actually running ahead of its 2021 results. [...]| EKOS Politics
(My analysis in this piece builds on the excellent work done by Dr Kevin Bonham on the same topic, linked here; it is very much worth a read) If you’ve read articles dissecting opinion polls in the media, you’ve almost certainly come across a statement of one of the following forms: Alongside strong results onContinue Reading... Approval Ratings Are Rubbish, But They Have ValueContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
[Ottawa – February 15, 2025] The race appears to have plateaued following a remarkable narrowing in the past month. Whereas the Conservative Party enjoyed a seemingly insurmountable 25-point lead l…| EKOS Politics
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same […]| Features – FiveThirtyEight