[Ottawa – September 19, 2025] Six months into the 30th Canadian Ministry, the Liberals remain in a clear leadership position. Nevertheless, the federal race has tightened somewhat, driven primarily by Conservative gains. The Conservative Party now stands at 34.0 points, up 3.5 points since our last release, while the Liberals are at 42.0 points, down 1.2 points. Even so, the Liberals remain at roughly twice the level of support they held just nine months ago. [...]| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – June 10, 2025] In our latest poll, we examine a the post-election rebound in national confidence, unity, and trust, as well as the lasting impacts of polarization and disinformation.| EKOS Politics
(My analysis in this piece builds on the excellent work done by Dr Kevin Bonham on the same topic, linked here; it is very much worth a read) If you’ve read articles dissecting opinion polls in the media, you’ve almost certainly come across a statement of one of the following forms: Alongside strong results onContinue Reading... Approval Ratings Are Rubbish, But They Have ValueContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
[Ottawa – February 15, 2025] The race appears to have plateaued following a remarkable narrowing in the past month. Whereas the Conservative Party enjoyed a seemingly insurmountable 25-point lead l…| EKOS Politics
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same […]| Features – FiveThirtyEight
