With redistricting remaning a front-and-center topic in the news, we looked at how states that currently have one-party representation in the House could look underer fairer maps; with former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) seeking a return to the Senate, we move Ohio's 2026 race from Likely R to Leans R.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
How redistricting could alter the median House seat by 2024 presidential results; what if Sherrod Brown runs for Senate? The post How the Redistricting Fight Could Change the Bias in the House (and Other Notes on the State of Politics) appeared first on Sabato's Crystal Ball.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
WI-GOV moves to Toss-up while NC-SEN remains a Toss-up following major candidate announcements in both races| Sabato's Crystal Ball
If Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) retired, the race would probably still be rated Likely Republican, thanks to Iowa's heavy GOP lean| Sabato's Crystal Ball
In NE-2, Rep. Don Bacon's (R) retirement pushes the seat to Leans Democratic, while North Carolina's Senate race remains a Toss-up without Sen. Thom Tillis (R).| Sabato's Crystal Ball
Just a couple of basic factors—House generic ballot polling and the number of seats the presidential party is defending—do a decent job of predicting midterm congressional election results.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
In the Crystal Ball's first look at the 2026 Senate races, we find that Republicans are strong, but not prohibitive, favorites to keep the chamber. Early Toss-up states include Georgia and Michigan, which are Democratic-held, and North Carolina, which Republicans hold. Democrats will probably make a serious attempt at Maine, although it starts off as Leans Republican.| Sabato's Crystal Ball