An analysis of how the seat vote model in Meridiem performed, and some analysis of possible areas of improvement for election modelling.| Armarium Interreta
What ended up happening Although there are still some votes to go, at this point, all districts in the 2021 Western Australian state election have pretty much been “decided” – i.e. the remaining vote to be counted is very unlikely to change the winner of the seat. Labor looks to have won 53 of theContinue Reading... How Meridiem performed – Part IContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
If you haven’t had a look at our Western Australian 2021 forecast yet, it’s up and running here. Forecasts are useful little devils – they help to translate certain pieces of evidence (e.g. a poll saying Labor is ahead 68-32) into useful information (e.g. that means that given historical accuracy, Labor has a greater thanContinue Reading... How we intend to judge our WA 2021 forecastContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta