Recently, I had to hunt down what might politely be termed “discussion” around the polls for Rebekah’s excellent piece showing why polls taken too far out from an election don’t predict results very well. Let’s leave the delightful individuals who call intending-voters for the other side “stupid”, “idiot” etc to one side for now (preferablyContinue Reading... Why Theories of Polling Bias Don’t Make SenseContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
What’s the Shy Tory effect? The term “shy Tory” originates, as many wacky nicknames for political factions do (see: “Whig”), from the UK. It emerged in the aftermath of the 1992 UK general election, where a race which polls suggested was a tie with Labour narrowly ahead turned out to instead be a sizeable winContinue Reading... Is There A Shy Tory Effect In Australian Polling?Continue Reading...| Armarium Interreta