At the 2022 federal election, Victorians swung away from the major parties, with a 9.2% decline in the major party vote in the House of Representatives and a 3.3% decline in the Senate. This decline hit the Liberal/National Coalition harder than Labor, with two-party swings of 1.4% to Labor in the House and 5% toContinue Reading... How Did Victorian State Electorates Vote at the 2022 Federal Election?Continue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
A collection of details from the final forecast and random findings, each too small for a separate piece. Normally, we’d have an Upside/Downside piece, but Rebekah’s run into some technical difficulties – turns out multiverse travel isn’t as easy as the Marvel Cinematic Universe makes it look. I think the broad picture will be familiarContinue Reading... Federal Election 2022 MiscellanyContinue Reading...| Armarium Interreta
Look closer, and you'll notice the big errors were always there under the hood. It's just that we never really focused on them.| Armarium Interreta
An examination of how the electoral map shifts if Labor continues to trade voters in historically-Labor electorates for voters in historically-Liberal electorates.| Armarium Interreta
What little history there is of split House/Senate elections suggests that the government would be making its life much harder if it opted for one, for little gain.| Armarium Interreta