This series contains lists of projects that it could be very valuable for someone to tackle. The projects would be especially valuable if transformative AI is coming in the next 10 years or so, but they are not primarily about controlling AI or aligning AI to human intentions. Most of the projects would be valuable even if we were guaranteed to get aligned AI. Some of the projects would be especially valuable if we were inevitably going to get *mis*aligned AI.| Forethought
This article presents project ideas relating to helping humanity get better at reaching correct and well-considered beliefs on important issues. If AI capabilities keep improving, AI could soon play a huge role in our epistemic landscape. I think we have an opportunity to affect how it’s used: increasing the probability that we get great epistemic assistance and decreasing the extent to which AI is used to persuade people of false beliefs. A couple of favorite projects are: "Create an orga...| Forethought
It’s plausible that AI will lead to explosive economic and technological growth. Our current methods of governance can barely keep up with today's technological advances. Speeding up the rate of technological growth by 30x+ would cause huge problems and could lead to rapid, destabilizing changes in power. This article is about trying to prepare the world for this. Either generating policy solutions to problems we expect to appear or addressing the meta-level problem about how we can coord...| Forethought
Humanity is not prepared for the AI-driven challenges we face. But the right AI tools could help us to anticipate and work together to meet these challenges — if they’re available in time. We can and should accelerate these tools. Key applications include (1) *epistemic* tools, which improve human judgement; (2) *coordination* tools, which help diverse groups work identify and work towards shared goals; (3) *risk-targeted* tools to address specific challenges. We can accelerate important ...| Forethought
Advanced AI could unlock an era of enlightened and competent government action. But without smart, active investment, we’ll squander that opportunity and barrel blindly into danger.| Forethought
Powerful AI will have a huge impact on epistemic processes in our society. How can we influence AI development and usage to make this go better? In this post, I discuss how important this area is broadly, and zoom in on ways to differentially advance and evaluate epistemic capabilities.| Forethought