How to resist thinking of large language models as friends. Or sentient things. Or intelligences you have to treat like God.| Commoncog
Make sure you're playing the real game, not some more complicated game you've made up for yourself.| Commoncog
There's a saying commonly attributed to Charlie Munger that goes 'Take a Simple Idea and Take It Seriously'. Work out all the implications. Seek out all the case studies. Here's a story of two investors who did exactly that.| Commoncog
One way that first principles thinking fails is when you build your analysis up from a deficient set of base principles. Everything is correct and true, but you still end up mistaken. Here's how that looks like in practice.| Commoncog
Why bother learning history, when history isn't likely to repeat itself? We take a look at what Cognitive Flexibility Theory tells us about the best way to learn from other people's experiences.| Commoncog
Learning from history is often problematic — history is context and path dependent, and it doesn't repeat itself. But what if there is a better way to read history, one that sidesteps these problems?| Commoncog
Everything I know about learning in novel, ill-structured domains, summarised in one piece.| Commoncog