Unprecedented “binary” horse race no longer in place [Ottawa – June 24, 2025] Three months after securing a fourth mandate, the Liberals are still riding high, holding steady at 43.2 points. Meanwh…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – June 10, 2025] In our latest poll, we examine a the post-election rebound in national confidence, unity, and trust, as well as the lasting impacts of polarization and disinformation.| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – April 27, 2025] We submit our final poll for the 2025 federal election. We are selecting our 3-day rolling IVR poll as our choice to predict the final vote outcome. Our chosen final poll shows a stable six-point Liberal lead (44.4 per cent versus 36.5 per cent for the Conservatives), which we believe will produce a 184-seat majority government. The NDP is in a distant third place at 8.6 points. [...]| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – April 21, 2025] The Liberal Party has seen a decline in its fortunes following the debates and, at 43.5 points, the party’s lead over the Conservatives has narrowed to 4.5 points. T…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa - April 11, 2025] As the election passes the midpoint and the debate milestones, it appears to have stabilized in a new more competitive eight-point Liberal lead (although we registered a 10-point lead in a concurrent online survey using our probability-based research panel, Probit). The Conservatives have experienced a modest recovery and, at 37.3 points, the party is actually running ahead of its 2021 results. [...]| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – April 11, 2025] The race appears to have settled into a holding pattern, with the Liberal Party maintaining a stable 13-point lead. Both our three-day and five-day rolls (the latter…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – April 4, 2025] In our latest five-day roll-up, the Liberals are at 49.0 points and the party holds a hold a 15-point lead over the Conservatives, who remain steady at 33.1 per cent in our…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – March 26, 2025] In the post-writ period, the Liberal Party appears to be maintaining a commanding lead (48 per cent, compared to 36% for the second-place Conservatives). However, th…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – March 6, 2025] In a profound transformation of the political landscape, the Liberal Party has jumpstarted a moribund and dismal outcome at the beginning of the year to what would be a cle…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – February 15, 2025] The race appears to have plateaued following a remarkable narrowing in the past month. Whereas the Conservative Party enjoyed a seemingly insurmountable 25-point lead l…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 29, 2025] Approximately a month ago, following Freeland’s dramatic exit from the Liberal cabinet, the Conservatives opened up a seemingly insurmountable lead of 25 points. S…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 22, 2025] In a rather dramatic recovery, the Liberal Party has surpassed the 30-point threshold for the first time since September 2022 and now sits at 32 per cent. Indeed, the pa…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 17, 2025] The Liberal Party has seen a remarkable turnaround in its fortunes in recent weeks. Following Chrystia Freeland’s resignation a month ago, the Conservative lead had reac…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 9, 2025] Amid a flurry of recent political events, the Liberals have experienced a modest boost in their fortunes. The party now sits at 25.8 per cent, a six-point improvement fro…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – August 21, 2024] The Conservative Party has enjoyed a profound advantage in federal vote intention since Pierre Poilievre assumed leadership. Over the past year, this advantage has been i…| EKOS Politics