[Ottawa – September 19, 2025] Six months into the 30th Canadian Ministry, the Liberals remain in a clear leadership position. Nevertheless, the federal race has tightened somewhat, driven primarily by Conservative gains. The Conservative Party now stands at 34.0 points, up 3.5 points since our last release, while the Liberals are at 42.0 points, down 1.2 points. Even so, the Liberals remain at roughly twice the level of support they held just nine months ago. [...]| EKOS Politics
Unprecedented “binary” horse race no longer in place [Ottawa – June 24, 2025] Three months after securing a fourth mandate, the Liberals are still riding high, holding steady at 43.2 points. Meanwh…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – June 10, 2025] In our latest poll, we examine a the post-election rebound in national confidence, unity, and trust, as well as the lasting impacts of polarization and disinformation.| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – April 27, 2025] We submit our final poll for the 2025 federal election. We are selecting our 3-day rolling IVR poll as our choice to predict the final vote outcome. Our chosen final poll shows a stable six-point Liberal lead (44.4 per cent versus 36.5 per cent for the Conservatives), which we believe will produce a 184-seat majority government. The NDP is in a distant third place at 8.6 points. [...]| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – April 4, 2025] In our latest five-day roll-up, the Liberals are at 49.0 points and the party holds a hold a 15-point lead over the Conservatives, who remain steady at 33.1 per cent in our…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – March 26, 2025] In the post-writ period, the Liberal Party appears to be maintaining a commanding lead (48 per cent, compared to 36% for the second-place Conservatives). However, th…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – March 6, 2025] In a profound transformation of the political landscape, the Liberal Party has jumpstarted a moribund and dismal outcome at the beginning of the year to what would be a cle…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – February 15, 2025] The race appears to have plateaued following a remarkable narrowing in the past month. Whereas the Conservative Party enjoyed a seemingly insurmountable 25-point lead l…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 29, 2025] Approximately a month ago, following Freeland’s dramatic exit from the Liberal cabinet, the Conservatives opened up a seemingly insurmountable lead of 25 points. S…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 22, 2025] In a rather dramatic recovery, the Liberal Party has surpassed the 30-point threshold for the first time since September 2022 and now sits at 32 per cent. Indeed, the pa…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 17, 2025] The Liberal Party has seen a remarkable turnaround in its fortunes in recent weeks. Following Chrystia Freeland’s resignation a month ago, the Conservative lead had reac…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – January 9, 2025] Amid a flurry of recent political events, the Liberals have experienced a modest boost in their fortunes. The party now sits at 25.8 per cent, a six-point improvement fro…| EKOS Politics
[Ottawa – August 21, 2024] The Conservative Party has enjoyed a profound advantage in federal vote intention since Pierre Poilievre assumed leadership. Over the past year, this advantage has been i…| EKOS Politics