Failed acquisitions do not always result in goodwill impairments. Management optimism is part of the problem, but so is application of the impairment test in a way that maximises the shielding effect of other assets. This reduces the value of goodwill impairments for investors. Analysing the success or failure of M&A is important to assess management stewardship. We applaud the IASB’s proposal for more disclosure, but also believe the goodwill impairment test needs a critical review. Some u...| The Footnotes Analyst
Explore economic and accounting volatility in insurance under ifrs 17, focusing on cash flow estimates and market changes affecting liabilities.| The Footnotes Analyst
Stock-based compensation can be difficult. Two approaches to measurement, valuation uncertainty, frequent adjustments for changes in estimates (including sometimes the stock price), and a dilutive effect in addition to an expense, all contribute this being a topic many investors try their best to avoid. Investors are not helped by inadequate stock-based compensation disclosures. Some companies go further than required by accounting standards, such as Swiss bank UBS, whose helpful additional a...| The Footnotes Analyst
Acquisitions of struggling banks are producing record profits due to negative goodwill ‘bargain purchase gains’. The Q1 2023 earnings of Citizens Bank was $9,504m compared with $264m in the same period last year, largely due to its Silicon Valley Bank deal. Negative goodwill arising from business combinations is reported as an immediate profit under both IFRS and US GAAP; but does it really represent an increase in shareholder value? We explain the meaning of negative goodwill, its releva...| The Footnotes Analyst
US GAAP and IFRS present the effects pension leverage differently in financial statements, notably leverage arising from pension fund asset allocation. This complicates the comparison and interpretation of performance measures and valuation multiples. We use Delta Air Lines to illustrate the positive impact of the US GAAP ‘expected return’ approach on reported profit, including the effect of optimistic return assumptions. If Delta had applied the IFRS ‘net interest’ approach we estima...| The Footnotes Analyst
The mark-to-market of commodity supply contracts, such as power purchase agreements and related derivatives, can create significant volatility in profit and loss. But are these gains and losses meaningful, and should you remove them from performance measures as many companies do in their non-GAAP reporting? There are 4 methods of accounting for power purchase agreements and, confusingly, you could find all of them applied by one company. We explain how each method works, when fair value gains...| The Footnotes Analyst
Most deferred tax adjustments in financial statements help investors - but not always. The ‘economic value’ of deferred tax assets arising from unused tax losses may be significantly less than the balance sheet figure. However, as a consequence, profit forecasts may be understated, potentially leading to an undervaluation by investors. We estimate that if the £24bn deferred tax asset of Vodafone were discounted to an economic value then it would instead be closer to £8bn, but forecast p...| The Footnotes Analyst
Most investors make extensive use of operating profit to assess company performance and as a starting point for valuation. But operating profit, like many company-provided subtotals, is not defined by IFRS; it is largely up to companies to decide what subtotals to include and even what to call them. However, the IASB may soon bring an end to this operating profit ‘free for all’. The proposal will lead to significant changes to the presentation of financial statements, notably the income s...| The Footnotes Analyst
Alternative performance measures (APMs) can be helpful for investors, but not necessarily the figure itself. It is the disaggregation of performance that is the real benefit. Focusing solely on adjusted measures means you will miss important aspects of profitability. We suggest how to use APMs to better understand performance, but without missing key elements. In our view this approach would provide a better basis for investor forecasts, as we demonstrate by disaggregating the IFRS earnings o...| The Footnotes Analyst
Assets measured at cost are subject to impairment testing and potential write-down if there has been a decline in value. However, unclear impairment indicators, subjective measurement and the ability to use so-called value-in-use may mean that accounting impairments do not equal the change in economic value. We discuss the impairment process for investments in associated companies that are subject to equity accounting. In the case of French media company Vivendi’s investment in Telecom It...| The Footnotes Analyst
In the alphabet soup of investment metrics, a new variant on EBITDA has appeared in some IFRS based company presentations – EBITDA-AL, with the ‘AL’ meaning ‘after leases’. But does the new measure make any sense? And why use EBITDA-AL rather than the established EBITDA or EBITDAR? All ‘earnings-before’ measures create comparability issues, omit key components of operating performance, and should be interpreted with caution. We think EBITDA-AL is worse than EBITDA, which never w...| The Footnotes Analyst
Limited disaggregation of income and expense items with different characteristics impair investors’ ability to assess and forecast performance. Recent proposals by the IASB for a new disaggregation principle and related disclosures of ‘unusual’ items will help. However, in our view, they do not go far enough. The IASB also proposes to include management alternative performance measures (non-GAAP or non-IFRS) within audited financial statements. We welcome this. Additional subtotals can ...| The Footnotes Analyst
Losses caused by the rise in interest rates in 2022, coupled with inadequate interest rate risk management, appear to be the trigger for the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. However, most of the losses on its fixed rate assets were not recognised in either the balance sheet or in profit and loss. We discuss why investors may have thought the bank was better hedged against interest rate risk than turned out to be the case, and show how 2022 profit would have been very different when measured o...| The Footnotes Analyst
Like many companies, AstraZeneca excludes intangible asset amortisation from its adjusted performance metrics. The stock currently trades at a price earnings ratio of 23x based on ‘core’ 2018 earnings, but without the add back the PE would be about 37x. Is the add back justified? And if so do companies add back the right amount? The intangible amortisation problem in equity analysis arises from the inconsistency between the accounting for purchased and self-developed intangible assets. We...| The Footnotes Analyst
There is usually at least one metric that gives valuation-based support for an investment, even if this is contradicted by other indicators of relative or absolute value. You may have heard comments such as “… but it looks cheap on EV/EBITDA” to help justify a particular investment recommendation. We examine why different multiples can give conflicting indications of relative value. For example, food-on-the-go stock Greggs trades at a 35% discount to rival Dominos Pizza, based on EV/EBI...| The Footnotes Analyst
The profit of insurance companies that report under IFRS is affected by three rates of return – the liability pricing rate, the return from investments, and the IFRS 17 discount rate. The first two largely determine the magnitude of aggregate profit; the last mainly affects the timing of profit recognition and its classification as a service result or net financial result. We use an interactive model to explain how interest rates determine the reported results of insurance companies. The il...| The Footnotes Analyst
IFRS 17 will result in significant changes to insurance company financial statements as of next year. Benefits for investors include a more relevant top line, consistent profit recognition, source of earnings analysis, updated assumptions, value of new business disclosures and an end to confusing asset-based discount rates. We think IFRS 17 will make insurance financial statements accessible to the broader investment community rather than just insurance specialists. However, compromises and o...| The Footnotes Analyst
Companies are continuously reshuffling their business portfolio by either spinning off assets (GlaxoSmithKline, Vivendi) or increasing their share in existing businesses (BMW, Siemens Energy). However, the M&A accounting applied to these transactions can produce some unusual and potentially confusing effects. In 2022, German luxury car manufacturer BMW increased its stake in its Chinese joint venture BMW Brilliance from 50% to 75%. Surprisingly, this produced a gain in profit and loss (even t...| The Footnotes Analyst
A forecast of profit is used for both valuation multiples and as a starting point in deriving free cash flow for DCF valuations. But should you use a forecast of the reported IFRS or GAAP measure, or a forecast of the adjusted non-IFRS or non-GAAP alternative performance measure (APM) presented by management? We think equity valuations should be based on forecasts of reported IFRS or GAAP earnings (albeit with some adjustment related to intangible assets). Forecasts of management APMs can b...| The Footnotes Analyst
We often see investors using cash flow metrics, particularly cash from operations, as a measure of performance. Cash flow may even be preferred to profit because it is supposedly more reliable and less subject to management judgement and potential manipulation … “cash is a fact, but profit is an opinion”. We explain why cash flow may not provide the insights into performance that some investors expect, and how cash flow can often be managed even more freely than profit. Cash flow is nev...| The Footnotes Analyst
Many companies look beyond straight debt and ordinary shares when raising finance, with capital structures increasingly including an array of complex financial instruments. This presents challenges for investors, particularly when analysing performance and leverage. We investigate the effects of one form of ‘hybrid’ financing - perpetual super-subordinated bonds – where securities with debt-like features may be reported as equity in financial statements. Recent proposals by the IASB to ...| The Footnotes Analyst
The IASB will shortly issue its new international standard for the presentation of financial statements - IFRS 18. Changes that will benefit investors include a prescribed operating-investing-financing structure for the income statement, new defined subtotals, additional disaggregation, and a more relevant cash flow presentation. IFRS 18 will better align financial reporting with equity analysis and provide additional and more comparable data to facilitate that analysis, including data that s...| The Footnotes Analyst
Following the 2008 financial crisis, loan loss provisioning was changed to reflect ‘expected’ losses rather than ‘incurred’ losses. This made the impairment reserves of banks more responsive to changes in credit quality, but it also introduced a distorting day 2 effect. Under US GAAP most expected loan losses are charged to profit up front. This ‘prudent’ approach may be liked by banking regulators, but it can produce performance metrics that are confusing for investors. The disto...| The Footnotes Analyst