The failure to deliver for poorer countries and the Trumpian backlash against free trade has shaken the dominance of the liberalisers and deregulators, says Duncan Green. He reports back from a recent gathering where experts unpicked emerging themes in a chaotic time for global trade policy: including the shift away from the multilateral system to bilateral treaties; and the heartening success of countries from Rwanda to Vietnam to Ecuador that have defied the old consensus.| From Poverty to Power
According to Christophe Barraud, regarded as the world's "most accurate economist," Donald Trump will almost certainly win the United States presidential (s)election. Ranked by Bloomberg as the top forecaster of the American economy, Barraud made the comments as Trump leads by less than one percent.| SHTF Plan
In other Ocean Tomo Insights posts, I have discussed uncertainty in the intellectual property system. In the patent system, one of the sources of uncertainty is the question of validity. A recent publication by my former colleagues in the Office of the Chief Economist at the US Patent and Trademark Office addresses uncertainty that resulted […]| Ocean Tomo
Some years ago, my mother got me a Christmas present I had asked for: a subscription to the Economist. And she has been kind enough to renew my subscription each Christmas since. Now, however, I am seriously considering asking her not to renew it anymore. Not because I'm not grateful for her gift (it's a pretty expensive news-weekly); but because the Economist has changed, mostly for the worse.| Moderates of all Nations, Unite!
The case for a COVID-19 research-related origin is becoming exponentially stronger while arguments for other origin hypotheses have either been debunked or ...| jamiemetzl.com