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Predicting AGI by the Turing Test – Yuxi on the Wired
https://yuxi-liu-wired.github.io/essays/posts/perplexity-turing-test/
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scaling
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Minimizing log-perplexity loss is equivalent to maximizing survival length in a Turing test. Assuming compute-loss scaling law, a scaled-up GPT that produces human-like science papers would cost ~200 years of global GDP.
