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Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk
https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/07/views-on-when-agi-comes-and-on-strategy.html
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Summary: AGI isn't super likely to come super soon. People should be working on stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in 20 or 50 years, in addition to stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in the next 10 years.
