By calling Russia a 'paper tiger', Donald Trump has drawn a line under the era dominated by the concept of a 'war of attrition', which until now had remained the main framework for understanding the Russia–Ukraine conflict and its potential outcomes. This framework assumed that, in the long run, Russia possessed a significant advantage in resources that would eventually lead to Ukraine’s defeat, despite its heroic resistance. However, two years of Russian offensives have so far failed to ...