The La Niña Watch issued by the Climate Prediction Center in August is still in effect. The “watch” means that La Niña conditions are likely to develop over the next several months, but that La Niña conditions are not currently in place. The probability of La Niña is between 65 and 71% for the periods of September-October-December through November-December-January. La Niña is the most likely outcome for the December-January-February period, but chances decrease to 51%.