Assumed audience: Mid career technical researchers considering moving into AI Safety research, career advisors in the EA/AI Safety space, AI Safety employers and grantmakers Nonetl;dr AI career advice orgs, prominently 80,000 Hours, encourage career moves into AI safety roles, including mid‑career pivots. I analyse the quality of this advice from the private satisfaction, public-good, and counterfactual equilibrium perspectives, and learn the following things: Rational Failure: If you value...