My regular update on global conflict. This week: U.S. deep strike target data for Ukraine, more drones over Europe, the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war reads.| Futura Doctrina
Learning from strategic failure and political decision-making in Europe and the Middle East in the past four years to understand the potential for strategic surprise in the Pacific.| Futura Doctrina
My regular update on global conflict. This week: Russia's war against NATO, Tomahawks for Ukraine(?), developments in the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war and national security reads.| Futura Doctrina
Trump’s recent post about the war in Ukraine was a major shift in his strategic narrative about the war. What did he actually say and what might it mean for the trajectory of the war?| Futura Doctrina
A short article on my visit last week to the Australian Army’s 3rd Brigade and its combined arms live fire training conducted near the north eastern Australian city of Townsville.| mickryan.substack.com
My new paper, published by the Special Competitive Studies Project, on confronting an adversary learning and adaptation bloc.| Futura Doctrina
NATO’s new benchmark is a good one for Australia to adopt. But what should the additional money be spent on?| Futura Doctrina
My regular update on global conflict. This week: Russia's drone attack on Poland, a busy week of developments in the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war and national security reads.| Futura Doctrina
There is much to be learned from Australia's national mobilisation during the Pacific War between 1941 and 1945.| Futura Doctrina
My regular update on global conflict. This week: the Coalition of the Willing, Putin's big 'no' to negotiating with Ukraine, a busy week of developments in the Pacific and my Big Five reads.| mickryan.substack.com
After posting my initial thoughts about the big parade in Beijing on social media, I wrote a longer piece for the Center for Strategic and International Studies, where I am an adjunct fellow.| Futura Doctrina
My five key takeaways in the wake of the Victory Parade in Beijing today.| Futura Doctrina
Tomorrow's big parade in Beijing will preview new Chinese weapon systems. But the military 'bling' may also provide insights into new PLA operating concepts for drones and missiles.| Futura Doctrina
My regular update on global conflict. This week: Gerasimov's Ukraine war update and the ongoing aerial campaigns of Ukraine and Russia, Japan's missile moves, China's big parade and my Big Five reads.| Futura Doctrina
Ukraine is increasing the power and lethality of its long-range, strategic strike capability, and Russia is hurting. There are good lessons for other military institutions to learn from this.| mickryan.substack.com
My regular update on global conflict. This week: Trump gives peace two more weeks & restricts long-range strikes, Putin keeps snubbing Trump, Chinese ferry invasion rehearsals and my Big Five reads.| Futura Doctrina
Ukraine has developed a world-class long-range strike capability. Their strikes in the past few months, especially against the Russian oil industry, reinforce that Russia cannot win this war.| mickryan.substack.com
My new report, published by the Australian Army Research Centre, is a comprehensive examination of how we might ‘translate’ the lessons of the war in Ukraine for application in the Pacific theatre.| Futura Doctrina
The Russian leader has not stepped back from his key objectives of the war and showed he has Trump’s measure - my latest for the Lowy Institute.| Futura Doctrina
My regular update on global conflict & confrontation. This week: Trump's defeat in Anchorage, the trajectory of the Ukraine War after Alaska, the Pacific theatre and my recommended Big Five reads.| mickryan.substack.com
For now, the grim reality for Ukrainians and Ukraine’s armed forces is that the fight will go on.| mickryan.substack.com
If Russia can exploit its position in the new eastern Ukraine salient, could it result in a one-two battlefield and diplomatic punch from Putin against Ukraine in the coming days?| mickryan.substack.com
Australia cannot afford to be complacent about the demands of the Trump administration or the aggression of authoritarian powers. My latest in Engelsberg Ideas.| mickryan.substack.com
My regular update on global conflict. This week: Trump's peace dance with Putin, the ground and air wars in Ukraine, Pacific military affairs and my recommended Big Five reads.| mickryan.substack.com
Some initial questions and conclusions about today's strike by Israel against targets in Iran, called Operation Rising Lion, and the potential for more attacks| mickryan.substack.com
Should and could Ukraine attack Russia's Victory Day Parade in Moscow? A special assessment 24 hours before the parade begins.| mickryan.substack.com
Can Ukraine and Russia both continue executing two major ground campaigns?| mickryan.substack.com
Military operations, including the Kursk Campaign, are about doing the right thing at the right time…and for the right reasons.| mickryan.substack.com
Ukraine's Big Swing and its Future Strategic Options in Kursk| mickryan.substack.com
A Steady, if not Rapid, Progression| mickryan.substack.com