Commodity prices face macroeconomic headwinds in early 2026 | Oxford Economics
Commodity prices are set to dip in 2026 as global growth slows and demand weakens. Will stabilisation mid-year signal a rebound ahead?| Oxford Economics
Using sectoral production data from Oxford’s Global Industry Service, we have been able to quantify which countries and sectors have the greatest potential for production migration. Applying this framework across Asia reveals meaningful industrial depth in Vietnam, Thailand, and Malaysia in trade-intensive segments, and a distinctive, more resource-heavy footing in Indonesia and India.| Oxford Economics
China’s emerging roles as both a critical intermediate goods supplier to global supply chains and a dominant producer of high value-added goods will remain the key forces sustaining its large current account surplus, far more so than the eventual direction of US tariffs.| Oxford Economics
Labour shortages remain an ongoing challenge across Europe, limiting firms’ ability to deliver a strong pipeline of work. 28% of construction firms are reporting that lack of personnel is limiting their output and 14% are intending to hoard labour in the next three months to minimise future risk.| Oxford Economics
The European economy has endured a challenging year in 2025, but we expect Amsterdam to hold up relatively well.| Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics, in collaboration with EY, conducted a survey to explore how strategic Environment, Health, and Safety (EHS) investments provide a competitive edge in today's volatile world. Gathering insights from 526 global EHS professionals and C-suite leaders, our research reveals that organizations investing in EHS report significant boosts in reputation, resilience, and operational efficiency. Those furthest ahead, the EHS leaders, align EHS with broader business strategy resulting in ...| Oxford Economics
New research from Oxford Economics finds that the opening of Amazon fulfillment centers lifts up local communities by increasing economic vitality while reducing hardship| Oxford Economics
Commodity prices are set to dip in 2026 as global growth slows and demand weakens. Will stabilisation mid-year signal a rebound ahead?| Oxford Economics
The federal shutdown that started on October 1st is on course to be one of the longest in years and could have a significant impact in a handful of mostly southern metros.| Oxford Economics
By 2035, we expect France’s public debt to approach 125% of GDP, up from 113% in 2024 and among the highest in advanced economies. Given the current political impasse, meaningful fiscal consolidation is unlikely before the 2027 presidential election. Even after that, we expect it to be gradual, keeping debt on an upward path and France's vulnerability to shocks elevated.| Oxford Economics
Discover which major cities are set to lead global growth and how technology, AI, and demographics are shaping their future success.| Oxford Economics
Impartial scenarios designed precisely for IFRS 9 modelling. Accurately forecast expected credit losses with Oxford Economics’ expert service| Oxford Economics
Discover Oxford Economics' CECL Scenarios Service for accurate projections of expected credit losses, ensuring compliance with accounting standards.| Oxford Economics
Our consulting services combine the analytical skills of our economists and thought leadership teams to deliver unique and groundbreaking research and economic impact analysis.| Oxford Economics
Access the latest economic research, reports, news, & more in our Global Economic Resource Hub. Stay informed with the latest information today.| Oxford Economics
Tata Consultancy Services commissioned Oxford Economics to calculate their economic footprint in the UK in 2023/24.| Oxford Economics
Ten years since Paris, can COP30 deliver real change? We review the progress of countries, industries and cities on the path to decarbonisation.| Oxford Economics
Australia is poised to become a global leader in green hydrogen, leveraging renewables and innovation to unlock major export and investment potential.| Oxford Economics
Australia’s unemployment hit 4.5% in September, the highest in nearly four years. As inflation stays elevated, the RBA faces pressure to cut rates in November.| Oxford Economics
The specialized information industry, represented by the Software & Information Industry Association (SIIA), commissioned Oxford Economics to undertake a research program to explore the economic implications of policy interventions in the realm of digital markets.| Oxford Economics
We equip our clients with the data and economic analysis they need to navigate an uncertain, fast-changing and challenging global economic and business environment.| Oxford Economics
The US Administration announced a set of tariff increases, bringing the US back to levels of protectionism last seen in the Great Depression era.| Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics defined the archetypes using a range of metrics from all five categories of the Global Cities Index, with each archetype focusing on a different set of common traits.| Oxford Economics
Our latest downside scenario reflects slightly less negative outturns for world exports relative to March.| Oxford Economics
The Budget on November 26 will be a key test of market confidence in the UK government's fiscal approach. If the government missteps and markets take fright, we think that sterling depreciation would accompany higher gilt yields.| Oxford Economics
Strong economic fundamentals support the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) consumer sector, likely leading to a structural outperformance over its advanced economy peers for decades.| Oxford Economics
Learn more about our latest world economic outlook and the economic prospects that will impact your region.| Oxford Economics
We now expect 25bps BoJ rate hikes in December and mid-2026, reflecting its hawkish turn and stronger growth and inflation outlook.| Oxford Economics
Enhance your understanding of climate scenario analysis and its impact on insurance accessibility in a changing climate.| Oxford Economics
Australia’s 2035 emission targets chart a strong path to net zero but overlook the physical risks of climate change. True resilience means treating climate action not just as an investment, but as insurance for Australia’s economy and way of life.| Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics projects a slowdown in global construction activity in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery as conditions stabilise and confidence returns in 2026.| Oxford Economics
Diverging fortunes across age and income groups reveal both resilience and fragility in the US consumer outlook.| Oxford Economics
Navigate economic uncertainty & find growth opportunities with Oxford Economics. Access leading global forecasts & analysis from economists & expert consultants.| Oxford Economics
Saudi Aramco’s 20-year, $11bn lease deal with Global Infrastructure Partner (GIP), a firm under BlackRock’s umbrella, for Jafurah Field Gas Plant underscores the growing international confidence in Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic transformation.| Oxford Economics
Make decisions about market and investment strategies with historic data and forecasts for 1,000 of the world’s most important cities.| Oxford Economics
Discover the strengths of global cities through our comprehensive ranking. Understand how various economic factors shape the global city rankings.| www.oxfordeconomics.com
RePORT Labour tight, but purse strings tighter in Australia Economic Outlook Improves Slightly Amid Job Strength and Supportive Exports, But Recovery Remains Uneven| Oxford Economics
A 30% tariff would send the Eurozone economy to the edge of recession, with growth stagnating over the coming quarters.| Oxford Economics
We think it's likely that high and broad-based US tariffs are here to stay, because they're proving most successful at raising revenue.| Oxford Economics
Tariff policies, rising geopolitical tensions and unprecedented uncertainty are putting pressure on cities and regions across the world.| Oxford Economics
Additional US tariffs have led us to downgrade our short-term outlook for the German economy, with this impact mostly concentrated in southern regions of the country.| Oxford Economics
Our simulations suggest that a permanent 40ppt tariff hike on US imports from Brazil would have limited impacts to the Brazilian economy.| Oxford Economics
We have identified 63 Cultural Capitals within the 1,000 cities covered in our Global Cities Index. These range from powerhouse economies like New York and London, to smaller locations like Reykjavik and Cambridge.| Oxford Economics
Consulting Report The Socio-Economic Benefits of Business Aviation in Europe Commissioned by General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA) and European Business Aviation Association (EBAA) You might be interested in| Oxford Economics
The Bank of Japan raised the rate to 0.5% as expected and may increase it to 0.75% in July, following wage negotiation outcomes.| Oxford Economics
