Excerpt from excursion 1 Tour I: Beyond Probabilism and Performance: Severity Requirement (1.1) NOTE: The following is an excerpt from my book: Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to get beyond the statistics wars (CUP, 2018). For any new reflections or corrections, I will use the comments. The initial announcement is here (including how to […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
We’re embarking on a leisurely cruise through the highlights of Statistical Inference as Severe Testing [SIST]: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (CUP 2018) this fall (Oct-Jan), following the 5…| Error Statistics Philosophy
3 posts published by Mayo during January 2025| Error Statistics Philosophy
In my new paper, “Severe Testing: Error Statistics versus Bayes Factor Tests”, now out online at the The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, I “propose that commonly used Bayes factor tests be supplemented with a post-data severity concept in the frequentist error statistical sense”. But how? I invite your thoughts on this and […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
Yes, my April 1 post was an April fool’s post, written entirely, and surprisingly, by ChatGPT who was in on the gag. This post is not, although it concerns another kind of “leak”. It’s a reblog of a post. from 4 years ago about “the mysteries of the mine” which captivated me during the pandemic. […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
I don’t use ChatGPT much, but while looking something up on Google around 2am this morning, I got one of those pop-ups nudging me to try a paid plan of ChatGPT. I figured maybe it would let me do more with the artwork I do, so I clicked. But mid-signup I got an error message […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
1. Introduction I gave a talk on March 8 at an AI, Systems, and Society Conference at the Emory Center for Ethics. The organizer, Alex Tolbert (who had been a student at Virginia Tech), suggested I speak about controversies in statistics, especially P-hacking in statistical significance testing. A question that arises led to my title: […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
The following is the February stop of our leisurely cruise (meeting 6 from my 2020 Seminar at the LSE). There was a guest speaker, Professor David Hand. Slides and videos are below. Ship StatInfasSt may head back to port or continue for an additional stop or two. Leisurely Cruise February 25: Power, shpower, severity, positive […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
Picking up where I left off in a 2023 post, I will (finally!) return to Gardiner and Zaharos’s discussion of sensitivity in epistemology and its connection to my notion of severity. But before turning to Parts II (and III), I’d better reblog Part I. Here it is: I’ve been reading an illuminating paper by Georgi […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
Our first stop in 2025 on the leisurely tour of SIST is Excursion 4 Tour I which you can read here. I hope that this will give you the chutzpah to push back in 2025, if you hear that objectivity in…| Error Statistics Philosophy
4 posts published by Mayo during April 2025| Error Statistics Philosophy
Abbreviated Table of Contents: Here are some items for your Saturday-Sunday reading. Link to complete discussion: Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle (wi…| Error Statistics Philosophy
This is Part II of my commentary on Stephen Senn’s guest post, Be Careful What You Wish For. In this follow-up, I take up two topics: (1) A terminological point raised in the comments to Part I, and (2) A broader concern about how a popular reform movement reinforces precisely the mistaken construal Senn warns against. […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
Have the points in Stephen Senn’s guest post fully come across? Responding to comments from diverse directions has given Senn a lot of work, for which I’m very grateful. But I say we s…| Error Statistics Philosophy
Stephen Senn Consultant Statistician Edinburgh Relevant significance? Be careful what you wish for Despised and Rejected Scarcely a good word can be had for statistical significance these days. We are admonished (as if we did not know) that just because a null hypothesis has been ‘rejected’ by some statistical test, it does not mean […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
Errorstatistics.com has been extremely fortunate to have contributions by leading medical statistician, Stephen Senn, over many years. Recently, he provided me with a new post that I’m about to put up, but as it builds on an earlier post, I’ll reblog that one first. Following his new post, I’ll share some reflections on the issue. […]| Error Statistics Philosophy
I gave a talk last week as part of the VT Department of Philosophy’s “brown bag” series. Here’s the blurb: What is the Philosophy of Statistics? (and how I was drawn to it) …| Error Statistics Philosophy
A seminal controversy in statistical inference is whether error probabilities associated with an inference method are evidentially relevant once the data are in hand. Frequentist error statistician…| Error Statistics Philosophy
Around a year ago, Professor Rod Little asked me if I’d mind being on the cover of a book he was finishing along with Fisher, Neyman and some others (can you identify the others?). Mind? The…| Error Statistics Philosophy
We’re stopping briefly to consider one of the “chestnuts” in the exhibits of “chestnuts and howlers” in Excursion 3 (Tour II) of my book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Be…| Error Statistics Philosophy
