‘This is possibly the single largest design flaw contributing to the bad Nash equilibrium in which … many governments are stuck. Every individual high-functioning competent person knows they can’t make much difference by being one more face in that crowd.’ Eliezer Yudkowsky, AI expert, LessWrong etc. ‘[M]uch of our intellectual elite who think they have […]| Dominic Cummings's Blog
This blog considers two recent papers on the dynamics of scientific research: one in Nature and one by the brilliant physicist, Michael Nielsen, and the brilliant founder of Stripe, Patrick Collison, who is a very unusual CEO. These findings are very important to the question: how can we make economies more productive and what is the […]| Dominic Cummings's Blog
I spend a lot of time these days reading papers on prediction from different fields looking for connections between methods. This is an interesting paper: On the frequency and severity of interstate wars, 2019. ‘Lewis Fry Richardson argued that the frequency and severity of deadly conflicts of all kinds, from homicides to interstate wars and everything […]| Dominic Cummings's Blog
‘Although the institutions of our culture are so amazingly good that they have been able to manage stability in the face of rapid change for hundreds of years, the knowledge of what it takes to keep civilization stable in the face of rapidly increasing knowledge is not very widespread. In fact, severe misconceptions about several […]| Dominic Cummings's Blog
The Prime Minister’s new Director of Communications Jack Doyle, at the PM’s request, has made a number of false accusations to the media. | Dominic Cummings's Blog
5 posts published by dominiccummings during March 2019| Dominic Cummings's Blog
1 post published by dominiccummings during October 2014| Dominic Cummings's Blog
Mistah Kurtz—he dead. A penny for the Old Guy I We are the hollow men We are the stuffed men Leaning together Headpiece filled with straw. Alas! Our dried voices, when We whisper together A…| Dominic Cummings's Blog
‘The combination of physics and politics could render the surface of the earth uninhabitable… [Technological progress] gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the hi…| Dominic Cummings's Blog
Hello I now blog HERE. If interested in why I did the referendum, read THIS. In 2019, just before going to No10, I wrote about the likely failure of UK crisis response in the next big crisis, e.g l…| Dominic Cummings's Blog
The Prime Minister’s new Director of Communications Jack Doyle, at the PM’s request, has made a number of false accusations to the media. 1. Re Dyson. I do have some WhatsApp messages between…| Dominic Cummings's Blog
Dear Vote Leave supporters LET’S HONOUR THE REFERENDUM RESULT AND GET BREXIT DONE SO THE COUNTRY CAN MOVE ON Summary: Tell your family and friends face-to-face: if Boris doesn’t get a majority, the…| Dominic Cummings's Blog
‘People, ideas, machines — in that order!’ Colonel Boyd. ‘The main thing that’s needed is simply the recognition of how important seeing is, and the will to do something abo…| Dominic Cummings's Blog
Watching SW1 these days reminds me of that scene in Citizen Kane when Boss Jim Gettys confronts Orson Welles (Kane): Gettys: ‘You’re making a bigger fool of yourself than I thought you would …| Dominic Cummings's Blog
‘People, ideas, machines — in that order!’ Colonel Boyd ‘[R]ational systems exhibit universal drives towards self-protection, resource acquisition, replication and efficienc…| Dominic Cummings's Blog