https://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/s/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_244.mp3| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neurons| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
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We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. 🙁 This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Here are some features that Thomas and Eneasz describe as wanting in this interview, and how CNS provides them:| The Bayesian Conspiracy
https://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/s/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_236.mp3| The Bayesian Conspiracy
https://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/s/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_235.mp3| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A)| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Your email address will not be published.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here! LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
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https://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/s/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_226.mp3| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so. 🙂| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!| The Bayesian Conspiracy
GPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong. Peter Watts on Blindsight Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2 Thou Art Godshatter| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains. LINKS Consciousness As Recursive Reflections Seven Secular Sermons Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX LightHaven’s Eternal September 0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections 01:29:30 … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Can we achieve our true potential? based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital also mentioned: Meetups Everywhere 2024 Are You Jesus or Hitler| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Eneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications. LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
A surprising update for two previously maple-pilled Yanks| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast. I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
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LINKS| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Rachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now. LINKS All the Living and the Dead Caitlin Doughty on YouTube CI cryonics case reports Places of Death in the … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Brandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons and Substack supporters will have access to the whole thing.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Our species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman 🙂 LINKS Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability Anthropic is hiring Episode 93 of The Mind Killer Talkin’ Fallout VibeCamp 0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
A bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it. Get all the details you could want plus tickets … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this. LINKS The Twitter Essay we’re discussing Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack Trace’s piece on … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse. The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality. 🙂 Also, as hinted in this blast and discussed in the last … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Yassine tells us what’s wrong with DJs and reveals their ancient mystical secrets. His post, DJ At Law Watch DJ-crush Tinzo spinning her craft| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We speak to Lucy Belmont, Fluffer B from Aella’s Birthday Gangbang. Guys, this is the most wholesome and fantastic thing we’ve ever heard, for real. LINKS Aella’s post on her birthday gangbang, with many charts and graphs LucyBelmont.com Also Lucy … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
You can now subscribe to us on SubStack. You can hear the Rational!Animorphs fanfic (and Luminosity) at AskWho’s channel| The Bayesian Conspiracy
The full audio of the article we discuss. Many thanks to AskWho for creating it! It can also be found at https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v30-by AskWho can be supported at https://www.patreon.com/AskwhoCastsAI and many many more essays and stories are available there.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk with Andrew Cutler about how pre-modern women spread consciousness through our species via a snake cult. This is a follow up to episode 205, which you should listen to first if you haven’t yet. LINKS Eve Theory of … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
The future is now and it’s getting closer by the minute. Everyone check out AskWho’s Patreon and donate if you’re able to. 11Labs is the main tool AskWho uses. We mentioned OpenAI’s Sora. Check out this video.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
To raise successful adults, children must experience the ability to act in the real world. Jennifer gives practical advice on how to do exactly that in an entirely sane way. LINKS Lenore Skenazy’s original post “Why I Let My 9-Year-Old … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven explains the Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of chronic pain to Eneasz, and Eneasz opines on feedback cycles in psychological trauma. Main: The “mind-body vicious cycle” model of RSI & back pain OTHER LINKS Play Tetris after traumatic events to prevent … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Where we marvel at the unparalleled game of our man Phil. Watch Bet On Love, starts at 17 minutes. Dating show portion starts at 24 minutes. The Death Bed Song Wes’s twitter reply| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Lets teach our gods ancient Sumerian only The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus Our previous Snake Cult of Consciousness episode LLAMA PRO: Progressive LLaMA with Block Expansion| The Bayesian Conspiracy
AskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post! This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon. Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible. The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler or listen to the original post in audio, … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance OTHER LINKS Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust TBC 14 – Street Epistemology There Are 4 … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Can we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem. The Center for AI Policy … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Are there other ways to disincentivize attempted murder? Related Episodes: 196 and 198 and BB22| The Bayesian Conspiracy
You thought the title was a penis joke? For shame. Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August. Related Episodes: 196 and 198| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements origin| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
How to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉 Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson| The Bayesian Conspiracy
We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a … Continue reading →| The Bayesian Conspiracy
With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal| The Bayesian Conspiracy
A tiny piece of self apart| The Bayesian Conspiracy