With Trump in her corner, Karrin Taylor Robson is entering the 2026 GOP Gov. race with a fundamentally stronger hand and a clearer path to victory.| Noble Predictive
Even as Donald Trump carried Arizona by nearly 6 points last November, Democratic congressman Ruben Gallego was elected to the Senate by over 2 points — the largest gap of any state with a split presidential/Senate outcome in 2024.| Noble Predictive Insights
No deep-red state has been more skeptical of President Donald Trump than Utah.| Noble Predictive Insights
Over a dozen states have made Election Day a state holiday, but Arizona and Nevada are unlikely to do so any time soon.| Noble Predictive Insights
according to our Q1 UTPOP survey, 65% of Utah voters think an independent commission (not the state legislature) should draw the lines.| Noble Predictive Insights
NPI’s April national poll of registered voters, in partnership with The Center Square, finds that Democrats know what they want, even if they don’t know who. And our research shows that just a couple candidates fit the bill.| Noble Predictive Insights
President Donald Trump made a lot of promises on the campaign trail – but like any candidate, he can’t keep them all. As the president's approval ratings have dropped on virtually every issue since taking office, the pressure is on him to prioritize.| Noble Predictive
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As the 2026 midterm election cycle begins to take shape, early data suggests the Republican Party holds a small advantage overall, but that high-profile elected Democrats are in good political shape.| Noble Predictive
Recent AZPOP data finds that AZ’s electorate is steering away from the MAGA brand when deciding who to vote for in the 2024 U.S. Senate race| Noble Predictive
Arizona voters are weighing in on some of the most debated national issues. The) latest AZPOP finds where the public stands, and what still divides them on the economy, immigration, election security, and voter reform.| Noble Predictive Insights
Karrin Taylor Robson currently leads in the primary, but the late-breaking development of Charlie Kirk's endorsement of U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs may shift the race dramatically.| Noble Predictive
The latest Nevada public opinion polling data reveals a state that is politically divided, but not disillusioned. Party preferences are split, but voters are united behind top issues and overall optimism.| Noble Predictive Insights
Nevadans are pushing back on Trump's controversial initiatives regarding tariffs and policy proposals to eliminate the Department of Education, even as Trump retains strong loyalty among segments of the Republican base.| Noble Predictive Insights
As Nevada’s housing crisis deepens, new public opinion polling data reveals Nevadans are ready for bold action to address skyrocketing costs.| Noble Predictive
Polling suggests that if he were to run for governor, Kirk might perform as well as — or better than — other more traditional candidates| Noble Predictive Insights
NPI Chief of Research David Byler recently weighed in on the debate over whether there’s a Democratic Tea Party in a piece for MSNBC| Noble Predictive Insights
College campuses in Arizona swung toward Trump by 6–8 points in 2024 — more than the 5.2-point shift statewide.| Noble Predictive
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According to our latest poll, big social issues – abortion, immigration – are nowhere near as important to Utah voters as affordable housing| Noble Predictive Insights
Internal divisions in Utah's GOP persist, reflecting the ongoing tension between traditional conservatives and the MAGA faction.| Noble Predictive Insights
Poll sheds light on Utahns’ awareness and opinions on key legislative issues, including fluoride regulation, SNAP benefits, & redistricting.| Noble Predictive
Arizonans express frustration over the high cost of living and show strong support for new housing developments aimed at reducing costs.| Noble Predictive Insights
Insight into voter sentiment on key issues, political party performance, and the approval ratings of Arizona’s top leaders| Noble Predictive
In 2025 Nevada is showing signs of a political realignment, moving from a traditionally center-left position to a more centrist battleground| Noble Predictive
Kari Lake still leads in the GOP Senate primary, but her lead has narrowed, and she faces challenges against Ruben Gallego in a head-to-head| Noble Predictive
