Watch Knox's webinar replay as he covers the latest trends in Bitcoin and the stock market, including how much momentum may be left in the current rally.| Blogs
Watch Knox's webinar replay as he covers the latest trends in Bitcoin and the stock market, including how much momentum may be left in the current rally.| Blogs
Watch Knox's webinar replay as he covers the latest trends in Bitcoin and the stock market, including how much momentum may be left in the current rally.| Blogs
Coherent has all of the right products to potentially become a sizable player in AI networking. Primarily, Coherent’s growth story centers around supplying Nvidia with pluggable optical transceivers (400G, 800G, 1.6T) including EML lasers, VSCEL lasers and CW lasers, and emerging CPO technologies for next-generation switches and interconnects. What Coherent must navigate is that other companies also offer optical interconnects, and thus, competition is heightened in the datacom transceivers...| Blogs
Cloudflare offered a solid earnings report, yet the valuation is extraordinarily high, thus, the company really needed to report a blowout to justify the valuation (which did not happen). It’s good to see Cloudflare report steady growth, however, and its key metrics supporting sustained growth as we patiently wait for Cloudflare to lead in AI inference at the edge. There is a quiet strength in Cloudflare’s fundamentals and key metrics. For example, Cloudflare passed a $2B run rate for the...| Blogs
Reddit’s stock has surged 62% in one month, easily placing the company’s earnings report as one of the best to come out of the tech sector this quarter. The world’s leading forum site has only 416 million weekly active users compared to Facebook’s 2 billion yet ranks fifth behind Facebook as the most visited site in the United States. In addition, due to a few changes in how Google surfaces content with AI overviews, Reddit is now the second most visible site in the United States – ...| Blogs
Watch Knox’s webinar replay as he covers stock setups within the Discovery tier, including insights for investors who want to dive deeper into tech opportunities.| Blogs
The Essentials plan ($99/year) will be discontinued on August 1, 2025 as we streamline offerings to bring you even greater value through Pro, Advanced, and Discovery. Essentials members will receive exclusive upgrade discounts (email: premium@io-fund.com). Archived content will remain available until November 30, 2025, after which it will be migrated to the Pro Dashboard for continued access.| Blogs
Innodata boosted its full-year revenue growth outlook by five points in Q2, now forecasting more than 45% growth this year, driven by strong demand, significant new deal wins and a large pipeline geared toward the second-half of the year. However, digging into the details reveals that Innodata’s largest customer has not expanded over the last two quarters, and remains at the $135 million annualized rate as stated in Q4. This comes despite Innodata discussing expansion opportunities with thi...| Blogs
Vertiv offered a mixed report this quarter with stronger commentary about Q4 as opposed to Q3, along with a slight miss on adjusted operating margin. Considering the margins are already thin for many AI hardware stocks, any miss tends to be amplified. With that said, the stock has been on a tear off the Apri lows - up 130% since early April. Given the report was not a blowout, a cooling off may be in order regardless of the earnings numbers. Notably, Vertiv will not win any hypergrowth stock ...| Blogs
Last month, after ServiceNow reported second quarter results that exceeded expectations on multiple fronts, shares of NOW rose by 6%. The company is attempting to reposition itself beyond a provider of cloud-based digital workflows to what they are calling “the AI-powered operating system for enterprise transformation.” Yet, the market is cautious as the stock is down nearly 20% YTD and lags other AI software stocks – this analysis looks at the puts and takes weighing on this promising ...| IO Fund
Applovin reported revenue of $1.26 billion compared to consensus of $1.28 billion according to some sources yet others reflect the consensus we had of $1.22 billion, thereby it’s debatable if the top line beat. Our notes show App beat, although narrowly. Management had guided last quarter for revenue of $1.195B to $1.215B, representing YoY growth of 69.5% at the midpoint. By this standard, as well, Applovin beat with growth of 77%. On the bottom line, the company had a large beat with EPS o...| Blogs
Just when you think the controversy around Supermicro has cleared, the company offers a fiscal year guidance of $33 billion that beats consensus by 10.8% at $29.8 billion, and yet a statement in the February call has been misconstrued to lead to what the market is calling a significant miss. Those items are less of a concern, whereas margins and cash remain the predominant concern for Supermicro. However, I suspect this time next year the troubles SMCI faces will be a distant memory as even...| Blogs
AMD reported a slight beat on the top line at $7.685B in revenue compared to estimates of $7.43B. This represents growth of 31.6% compared to growth of 27.4% expected. Where the beat is somewhat problematic is that it was driven by Client and Gaming, rather than the data center. However, in terms of a bright spot in the report and a data center inflection point, Q3 estimates were at $8.3B going into the print and management is guiding for $8.7B at the midpoint for growth of 28% YoY and 13% gr...| Blogs
Astera Labs reported a blowout quarter with beat/raise that is impressive even for ALAB’s standards. Not only did Astera Labs beat by nearly $20M or 11.3% but the guide exceeded this and beat by 14.35%. To sweeten the deal, the roughly $20M beat flowed through to profits for a company that is comfortably GAAP profitable despite a fairly recent IPO in 2024 with elevated stock-based compensation at 20% of revenue. The fundamental profile of Astera Labs could not be cleaner, and when it comes ...| Blogs
Bloom Energy is retracing the 10% pop it saw yesterday from the news Bloom has agreed to supply Oracle with solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) servers. Despite Bloom Energy being in direct contact with its first hyperscaler customer with Oracle, the drawback is that BE had already baked this into fiscal year guidance. Thus, the company was only able to reiterate fiscal year guidance of $1.65 to $1.85 billion, corresponding to YoY growth of 19.1%. Despite the weak price action from inflated expectat...| Blogs
Coinbase posted a double miss in Q2 with revenue growth of just 3.3% YoY, with both transaction revenue and trading volumes both underperforming the spot market in the quarter. Despite the soft growth, especially in transaction revenues, Coinbase made significant progress on multiple fronts in the crypto world. This included bringing USDC on the Base chain live in Shopify Payments, launching the Coinbase One Card, reaching all-time high average market share of assets on its custody platform, ...| Blogs
Meta reported a large beat on both the top and bottom line in Q2, with revenue nearly $3 billion ahead of estimates at $47.52 billion and EPS of $7.14 more than 21% ahead of consensus. Ad impressions growth meaningfully rebounded from the mid single-digits to the double-digits in Q2. For Q3, Meta also set the bar quite high by guiding for $49 billion in revenue, pointing to a consecutive quarter with >20% growth. For context, Meta was expected to report <15% growth in both Q2 and Q3. In the b...| Blogs
Tonight, Microsoft proved why the AI Enterprise crown is rightfully theirs. Management came out swinging this evening on multiple fronts. First off, the acceleration in Azure and Other Services to 39% up from 35% last quarter was significantly higher than expected, with the Street calling for growth of 33.7%. To grow nearly 40% at this scale is impressive. Microsoft also revealed its Azure revenue number for the first time of $75 billion for FY2025 (although not entirely surprising as we were...| Blogs
In late 2022, when Bitcoin was trading near $16,000, the I/O Fund issued a Strong Buy Alert. At the time, many of the market’s biggest crypto bulls were silent. Fast forward to today, Bitcoin is up over 600%—and now we are hearing the same aggressive upside targets that we heard years ago prior to Bitcoin’s 70% plunge. In this week’s report, we take a hard look at these exuberant, bullish calls and contrast them with our systematic models that correctly identified the 2021 top and 20...| Blogs
In our last Broad Market Report titled, Historic Uncertainty Meets $7 Trillion Dollar Debt Wall: What Comes Next For The S&P 500, the S&P 500 was trading near 5800 and still well below its February high. We outlined the unique macro risks that were dominating investor sentiment, which were at historic extremes. At the same time, technical signals suggested a path to new all-time highs remained likely. “The market breadth, Q1 earnings beats, and the size of this rally suggest that new all-ti...| Blogs
This week, Google cleared a major hurdle with Search accelerating from 10 points of growth last quarter to 12 points this quarter -- putting to rest many doubts that Search monetization is at risk given the popularity of apps such as Chat-GPT with 600 million active users (and counting). After hours, the stock was flat given Google's current capex spend would take nearly 5 years to pay back at Google Cloud's current growth rate. However, while the puts and takes caused a neutral reaction, o...| IO Fund
When it comes to AI cloud leaders, Oracle is not often mentioned, yet the company is quickly positioning itself to lead among Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet when it comes to cloud growth over the next few years. For the upcoming fiscal year, Oracle guided for a 20-point acceleration in Cloud IaaS growth to >70%, driving a 16-point acceleration in overall Cloud growth to >40%. Supporting its long-term growth is robust RPO momentum, its recent 4.5 GW expansion with OpenAI and its $30 billion/ye...| Blogs
Robinhood’s fundamental transformation over the past two years has been nothing short of remarkable. Crypto is driving strong revenue growth at 50% YoY in Q1, while TTM operating margin is approaching 40% after being at (72%) at the start of 2023. Robinhood was an initial trailblazer in zero-commission trading, yet the company arguably made one of its most significant moves at the end of June with the launch of Stock Tokens. The tokenization of assets marks an entry into a market that wil...| IO Fund
The market evolves quickly, and nowhere is that more apparent than in AI stocks, which continue to lead in both innovation and returns. At the I/O Fund, our deep coverage of AI stocks, combined with active management of crypto positions, gives us a unique vantage point. As we move into the second half of the year, we want to highlight key insights every investor should understand about where AI stocks and crypto could go next.| IO Fund
Data center power demand is forecast to surge over the next decade, with some estimates seeing demand increasing 3x by 2030. Inference is expected to be a primary driver with power demand growth projected at a 122% CAGR through 2028 as providers work to serve billions of requests and process hundreds of trillions of tokens. Combined with a 5x increase in GPU power consumption over the next two to three years with Nvidia’s Rubin Ultra, power is quickly becoming a major bottleneck for the ind...| IO Fund
Last week, AMD offered more details on the release of their groundbreaking GPUs with little fanfare in the markets – which is par for the course as AMD has a history of being forgotten about until the company can no longer be ignored. At Advancing AI 2025, AMD introduced its Instinct MI350 series GPUs, including MI355X with up to 4X performance over the previous MI300X generation and up to 40% more tokens per dollar compared to Nvidia’s B200 accelerators.| Blogs
Up until now, the AI conversation has been dominated by training and compute, yet inference is showing signs of exploding growth. Microsoft and Google recently highlighted 5x to 9x YoY growth in AI tokens processed, while OpenAI and Anthropic are adding billions in ARR in a matter of months to $10 billion and $3 billion, respectively. While Nvidia takes center stage for many investors as AI training powered its immense data center growth over the past two years, this AI semiconductor stock is...| Blogs
We are seeing mounting evidence that this bounce may be the start of a new push to all-time highs, such as improved breadth, better than expected earnings plus the size of this bounce. However, one can’t ignore the unprecedented levels of uncertainty shown in key indexes, coupled with a growing problem in the U.S. bond market. In this report, we’ll lay out the unbiased case for each scenario for our 2025 stock market outlook.| Blogs
Despite their leadership, AI stocks like Taiwan Semiconductor and Nvidia are flat year-to-date and trading at similar levels as June 2024. Clearly, the AI trade is not as straightforward as it might seem. Taiwan Semiconductor, in particular, sits at the center of geopolitical tensions — yet those tensions tend to surround companies with deep IP in the AI economy. What makes this economy so distinct is not just the extraordinary commercial demand, but also its rare, historical role in shapin...| Blogs
Nvidia’s streak of blockbuster earnings has turned investor expectations into a high-stakes game— anything short of perfection risks disappointment. As the company gears up to report fiscal Q1 results, markets remain fixated on the fallout from China’s H20 export ban, which could shave $15 billion off annual revenue and includes a $5.5 billion inventory write-down. Q1 strength will likely reflect a surge in stockpiled orders from China, but Q2 poses the choppiest outlook in years as dem...| Blogs
Microsoft stock jumped after Q3 2025 earnings as Azure emerged as the only major cloud platform to accelerate growth this quarter — a rare feat amid macro pressures. Azure’s 35% constant currency growth crushed estimates and far outpaced AWS at 17% and Google Cloud at 28%. This momentum reaffirms Microsoft’s dominant position in the Azure vs AWS vs Google Cloud battle. With deeper enterprise penetration, exclusive OpenAI integration, and a strong AI-driven roadmap, Microsoft’s cloud a...| Blogs
Since calling the Bitcoin bottom near $16,000 in late 2022, the I/O Fund has maintained a disciplined, contrarian approach — issuing 13 buy alerts before Bitcoin surged above $100,000. Now, signs suggest the current bull cycle may be nearing its final stage. Despite pro-crypto news headlines and ETF momentum, our technical and on-chain indicators point to rising risk and the possibility of a major top. In this article, we explore why it may be time to reduce exposure and how disciplined ris...| Blogs
Rising tariffs are injecting significant uncertainty into the stock market, triggering daily volatility and forcing analysts to revise earnings estimates. Our Q1 preview dives into the potential impact on key sectors like consumer electronics (especially Apple), autos, and Big Tech, revealing how supply chain disruptions and potential price hikes could reshape the market landscape.| Blogs
AI data centers are at the heart of the AI revolution, but their massive energy demands raise critical questions. With power consumption expected to grow 160% by 2030, data centers are turning to a mix of brown, clean, and renewable energy sources to balance sustainability and reliability. Goldman Sachs estimates 40% of new data center capacity will come from renewables, but can solar, wind, and nuclear meet AI’s 24/7 power needs? Discover how hyperscalers are adapting their energy strategi...| IO Fund
As the S&P 500 reaches a key bounce target, troubling signs in bonds and consumer behavior suggest this market rally may be on thin ice. I/O Fund’s Knox Ridley explains why volatility may intensify and how the correlation between stocks and bonds is breaking in a way we haven’t seen in decades.| Blogs
Tesla’s stock is now facing a recalibration of expectations after Q1’s delivery report missed by a wide margin. Q1’s analyst consensus has gone from $25.98B at the start of the year to $23.97B in early March, to now $21.54B following Tesla’s delivery report. These sharp revisions beg the question - is this enough? This analysis drills deeper into the current analyst expectations for Tesla and what to expect in Q1’s report below.| Blogs
Alibaba’s AI-driven cloud revenue is surging with six consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth. However, its AI earnings remain a fraction of what U.S. tech giants report, with Microsoft leading at 13X higher AI revenue. The competitive pricing war in China’s AI sector may be limiting its growth potential. Explore Alibaba’s AI advancements, market challenges, and future prospects in our latest analysis.| IO Fund
I/O Fund empowers tech investors with a transparent, actively managed portfolio, real-time alerts, institution-level research, and audited results.| IO Fund
In December 2022, we boldly stated that “Bitcoin is a buy” when it was trading around $17,000. We were positioning for a new bull cycle and projected a target between $75,000 - $132,000. Despite Bitcoin being down nearly 80% from the 2021 highs and the FTX scandal, by March 2024, Bitcoin hit $73,757, close to our lower target. We rely on technical and on-chain analysis for Bitcoin, which helped us call the 2022 low and predict upper targets. We now adjust our targets to $82,000 - $106,000...| IO Fund
Although many AI stocks will not report enough AI revenue to survive the fierce, competitive battle the tech industry faces due to AI/ML, Wall Street investors can reasonably assume that Microsoft will be a leader in this space.| IO Fund
Palantir proved again in Q3 that it’s undeniably one of the stronger AI software stocks in the market outside of the cloud hyperscalers. The company reported visible AI-driven growth and persisting business momentum for AIP, strong revenue acceleration to 30% YoY, combined with strong profitability – a rare combination for growth stocks.| IO Fund
Tesla is arguably one of the most advanced AI companies in the world, yet its stock is dictated by margins. Over the past three years, Tesla’s average gross profit per vehicle has declined by 60%, falling from more than $14,400 in Q3 2021 to less than $6,000 in Q2 2024, highlighting the difficulty Tesla has faced in a high-interest rate environment.| IO Fund
In this article, I break down how Palantir’s AIP is putting it a step above peer Salesforce, MongoDB and Snowflake with visible AI growth, and its undeniable ‘secret sauce’.| IO Fund
Recent Q1 earnings releases from Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta reaffirmed that AI spending is continuing to increase through 2024 as companies seek AI-related revenue gains.| IO Fund
We’re still in the early innings of AI, but the pace of transformation that AI is driving is unlike any other technology seen before, and that was evident at Communacopia. Below, I dig in to the four things that investors must know about AI.| IO Fund
In early 2025, as markets rallied to new highs, we warned that divergence across key sectors signaled a looming correction. Now, with all major indexes in a technical bear market and bond market dysfunction escalating, we explore why the Fed may not be able to prevent deeper losses — and how investors should position for what’s next.| IO Fund
Choose the best tech stocks for your portfolio. Beth Kindig provides weekly analysis and a free newsletter to help predict the best tech stocks to buy. IndexPage| IO Fund
Bulletproof Nvidia showed an unusual bout of weakness this past month following a report from The Information that Nvidia’s new AI chips are delayed. The report asserts that Nvidia’s upcoming artificial intelligence chips will be “delayed by three months or more due to design flaws,” resulting in a final flush of selling where the stock was down (-15%) in 7 days.| IO Fund
Big Tech’s AI spending continues to accelerate at a blistering pace, with the four giants well on track to spend upwards of a quarter trillion dollars predominantly towards AI infrastructure next year.| IO Fund
Nvidia once again posted a $2 billion beat to consensus revenue estimates in Q3, reporting YoY growth of nearly 94% to over $35 billion in revenue. Data center revenue more than doubled in the quarter to over $30 billion with Hopper driving the second largest data center beat in company history.| IO Fund
