Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. A place for thinking smarter with data. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.| www.gelliottmorris.com
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. A place for thinking smarter with data. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.| www.gelliottmorris.com
Misperceptions about the popularity of violence increase public support for it — but you can help change that.| Strength In Numbers
Also this week: Dems lead in Virginia election polling; economic sentiment is down; people are turning against sports betting; + more!| Strength In Numbers
The president's approval rating is closer to Nicolás Maduro's than Vladimir Putin’s| Strength In Numbers
Experts say political violence, Trump's attacks against non-partisan agencies and institutions, and partisan gerrymandering are their top concerns| Strength In Numbers
Who will win the shutdown fight? And what makes a pollster trustworthy? That and more in the Strength In Numbers September 2025 Q&A.| Strength In Numbers
Also this week: Immigration attitudes move left; NSF cuts hit red states hard; Can Democrats become the anti-corruption party?; + more!| Strength In Numbers
Paul asks me about Trump's polling, the government shutdown, whether we're still in an economic "vibecession," and why I've grown more outspoken about democracy and authoritarianism| Strength In Numbers
52% of U.S. adults agree with Democrats refusing to sign a funding bill unless Republicans restore health care spending to pre-OBBB levels| Strength In Numbers
The data mostly do not justify the conclusions people are drawing| Strength In Numbers
Plus: Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 5, Americans reject ICE racial profiling; and approval of Trump's handling of prices and health care hit a new low| www.gelliottmorris.com
The backlash to ABC/Disney canceling Kimmel shows why it's important for businesses and the public to understand that two-thirds of Americans are not Trump voters| www.gelliottmorris.com
Hands off the public's data!| www.gelliottmorris.com
The First Amendment is the latest casualty of the Republican Party's identity politics, and Trump's cult of personality. What can stop him?| Strength In Numbers
Out estimates of the Wins Above Replacement for U.S. Senators as of 2024| Strength In Numbers
17 Republican and 11 Democratic U.S. House members have said they won't run for re-election next year| Strength In Numbers
Also this week: Trump ties Biden low on inflation/the economy; Mamdani up big in New York City; independent redistricting is an 80-20 issue. + more!| Strength In Numbers
Political violence remains rare, but leaders can help prevent tragedy by condemning hate and defending democratic values| Strength In Numbers
Watch now (34 mins) | A recording from G. Elliott Morris and The New Republic's live video| Strength In Numbers
The president is weak on jobs and inflation, which Democrats can use to restore their working-class image| Strength In Numbers
Nearly a majority of Americans strongly disapprove of the job he's doing as president. That is starting to have political costs| www.gelliottmorris.com
Is affordability the Democratic Party's secret weapon in 2026?| www.gelliottmorris.com
Results from the August Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll| www.gelliottmorris.com
I guesstimate how new congressional maps in TX and CA, plus likely gerrymanders in several other states, will impact Democrats in the 2026 midterms| www.gelliottmorris.com
Announcing our new measure of candidate quality, the Wins Above Replacement Probability (WARP)| www.gelliottmorris.com
According to analysis of issue approval data in Strength In Numbers/Verasight polls| www.gelliottmorris.com
By firing non-partisan government statisticians and ordering the GOP to rig congressional maps, Trump makes loyalty his essential command| www.gelliottmorris.com
This week in political data: Thermostat go click-click-click. Plus: Virginia election forecast; more on party favorability data; and a new way to poll vote intention?| www.gelliottmorris.com
That, and other topics from the July 2025 Strength In Numbers reader Q&A| www.gelliottmorris.com
The party has a near-historically low favorability rating. This is mostly due to disaffection on the left, where voters still say they'll vote Democratic for the midterms| www.gelliottmorris.com
This week in political data: Gallup's newsy poll; New Pew benchmark data; Senate ratings; Manufacturing prices increase; and AI disrupting news traffic| www.gelliottmorris.com
Results from the July Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll| www.gelliottmorris.com
This week in political data: Epstein and Trump, NPR, and the missing 2020 Biden voters. + for the first time in his second term, Trump has a lower approval rating on deportations than on the economy.| www.gelliottmorris.com
The news is all about tariffs, deportations, and Trump's Epstein files shenanigans. And he's massively underwater on all three.| www.gelliottmorris.com
Crunching the numbers on the potential coalition for an anti-spending, anti-Trump, anti-Democrats, anti-Republicans political party... wait what?| www.gelliottmorris.com
Are right-wing pollsters biasing Trump approval averages? Should America switch to ranked-choice voting? And what's up with the Democratic Party brand?| www.gelliottmorris.com
More: 60% see ethics/corruption problems in Trump administration, and the "Abundance Agenda" is popular (except zoning reform)| www.gelliottmorris.com
The Republican budget bill, which now heads to Trump's desk, will be the most unpopular law in at least 30 years| www.gelliottmorris.com
