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It's a big world with lots of investment opportunities. We continue to favor the United States, but it's hard to overweight the US when it already accounts for 64.7% of the market capitalization of the All Country World (ACW) MSCI (chart). That's up| Yardeni QuickTakes
The week ahead will offer timely clues about both the American consumer and inflation. The economic releases this week might also influence financial market expectations about another Fed rate cut as soon as the October 28-29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The| Yardeni QuickTakes
The DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all rose to record highs this past week. All were boosted by the Fed's decision to cut the federal funds rate by 25bps on Wednesday. Is the stock market back on the road| Yardeni QuickTakes
Please see Dr Ed's op-ed in today's Financial Times titled "Why it might be the time to repeal the Fed’s dual mandate: Should 3% be the US central bank's new inflation target?" As expected by everyone, the FOMC delivered a| Yardeni QuickTakes
Why didn't stock prices rise today? Why didn't the 10-year US Treasury bond yield fall below 4.00%? Why did the price of gold slip? The financial markets had clearly already fully discounted today's 25-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate. In addition, the| Yardeni QuickTakes
A recent article by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent takes aim at the Fed for its use of unconventional monetary tools and its mission creep. Today, Dr Ed addresses the Treasury secretary in an open letter, detailing where they agree and diverge on the Fed’s role and what monetary| Yardeni QuickTakes
The FOMC is likely to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps tomorrow. Among the meeting participants, there might be one or more dissenters to the decision who favor a 50bps cut and one or more dissenters opposed to any cut. The Summary of| Yardeni QuickTakes
Dear Scott, I Wholeheartedly Agree Thank you for your public service as Secretary of the Treasury of the United States. I read your recent excellent article in The International Economy titled “The Fed’s New ‘Gain-of-Function’ Monetary Policy.” I agree| Yardeni QuickTakes
Central banks take the spotlight this week as monetary policymakers from Washington to Tokyo cut to the chase on the balance of economic risks. Though the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting (Tue-Wed) is the main event, rate decisions by the Bank of Canada (Wed), the Bank of England (Thu)| Yardeni QuickTakes
Last Wednesday, Larry Ellison, the executive chairman and chief technology officer of Oracle, saw his net worth jump by $101 billion—the biggest one-day increase ever recorded on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index—to $382 billion. That happened after the company announced at its quarterly earnings conference that Google&| Yardeni QuickTakes
Following yesterday's cooler-than-expected PPI and today's as-expected CPI, expectations are that the FOMC will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points on September 17, with no dissenting votes among voting members. Following today's jump in last week's initial unemployment claims,| Yardeni QuickTakes
Our Roaring 2020s economic scenario and expectations for inflation and the labor market suggest that the Fed probably shouldn’t cut interest rates this year, although one cut might be warranted if upcoming inflation reports are more subdued than we expect. Yet a rate cut next week, after the| Yardeni QuickTakes
There was a lot of news today that, on balance, didn't move the needle much in the financial markets, which are marking time until August's PPI and CPI reports are released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Let's review all the non-events today: (1)| Yardeni QuickTakes
Daily insights, focused news, clear charts, weekly video webcasts, and much more. Posted by Dr Ed Yardeni and his research team.| Yardeni QuickTakes
Now that Fed Chair Jerome Powell is talking the talk of easing, markets are on the lookout for whether upcoming data are walking the walk. A Fed rate cut next month isn't a done deal, no matter what Powell hinted at last Friday at Jackson Hole. A lot can happen| Yardeni QuickTakes
President Donald Trump on Thursday nominated Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Stephen Miran to serve out the remaining term of Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler. Trump said Miran will serve in the role until January 31, 2026, while he continues a search for a permanent replacement. The Senate will probably| Yardeni QuickTakes
This will be a jampacked week for economic indicators and big banks' Q2 earnings reports. We are relatively optimistic about the latter, which should be bullish for the stock market. The inflation news may show some signs of tariff-related warming. Consumer-related data are likely to be be mixed. The White| Yardeni QuickTakes
💡This is an excerpt from the July 7, 2025 Morning Briefing of Yardeni Research, Inc. US Debt I: Trump vs Powell. President Donald Trump wants lower interest rates. He blames Fed Chair Jerome Powell for keeping them too high. He has been saying so since his first term in office| Yardeni QuickTakes