We’re in the early stages of systemic recursive improvement through AI-driven acceleration of AI R&D. Here’s how it works.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
‘Optimism’ is about odds of success, but odds are for spectators. Participants weigh options, not odds.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
MSEP is a free, open-source platform for designing and simulating atomically precise nanomechanical systems — a tool for exploring the foundations of future physical technologies.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
In the emerging AI ecosystem, even being a generalist becomes a specialized role.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Strategic pressure can be leveraged, not to force concessions, but to overcome barriers to mutually benefit.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Radical uncertainties in AI development and military applications favor security through cooperative stability. (Includes bonus footnotes on recent disruptive research results)| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Essential concepts for understanding AI today and prospects for tomorrow. (Bonus footnotes: the maths of exponential orthogonality & updated citations 30 May 2025)| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Navigating the AI transition with AI assistance: Deeply integrated knowledge as a target for differential acceleration| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
AI will drive change, but even obvious obstacles may prove illusory. Expect advances to flow through new channels.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
To ensure AI safety, we’ll need advanced AI capabilities. But how can we trust entities smarter than us? (Spoiler: We don’t have to.)| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Prospects for deep AI-driven transformation of military and economic affairs call for rethinking national strategies. We must prepare to pivot when emerging realities force change.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Coherent strategies for a hypercapable world call for coherent scenarios. Incoherence could be lethal.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Prospects for greatly expanded resources can reduce incentives for greed and conflict, even when dividing those resources is a zero-sum game.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
What if flawless software could be developed easily, quickly, and at scale?| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
AI and robotics will revolutionize production capacity and reduce costs, but machines making more machines doesn’t mean hordes of robots building more robots.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
How can we prepare for realistic, radically-disruptive developments, yet focus on credible prospects? Fortunately, credible AI-driven prospects can align with realistic challenges and opportunities.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
Deep learning has enabled breakthroughs in protein engineering, opening a path to developing molecular machinery for transformative, generative nanotechnologies.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
We can apply powerful, steerable AI capabilities to large, consequential tasks, with no need for powerful, autonomous agents. State-of-the-art AI points the way.| AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment
The concept of “Implementation capacity” as a workflow — design, development, production, application, and adaptation — provides a framework for understanding transformative AI.| aiprospects.substack.com
AI will transform our world in deep and unexpected ways. We must understand our options to rethink our goals. Click to read AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Alignment, by Eric Drexler, a Substack publication.| aiprospects.substack.com
Emerging technologies and innovative governance can reshape the landscape of security, privacy, and international cooperation.| aiprospects.substack.com