Personal website of Anatoly Karlin, a blogger and intelligence researcher. Their main blog is at Elite Human Capital.| Anatoly Karlin
Now that I’m done with the Necessary Caveats, it’s time we had a look at why exactly HBD/IQ theories are both valid, and relevant to the real world. As I see it, their main import (as interpreted by me) can be distilled into a few logically consecutive, falsifiable statements: IQ tests are a valid, culturally […]| Anatoly Karlin
Four cables from Cathay, courtesy of this excellent Cable Search tool. The first cable (Cable 1) is one of the last dispatches of Ambassador to the PRC Clark T. Randt, a long, analytical piece from January 2009. But it’s also perhaps the least interesting of the four. This is because it is only a rehashing of […]| Anatoly Karlin
The Case for Liberal Race Realism: Avoiding Wokes and Racists| Anatoly Karlin
Just in case you thought the correlation between human capital and economic development was an artifice of the post-socialist world, here is a similar graph (R2=0.4273) for all the world’s countries that have participated in the Math and Science portions of the PISA or TIMMS (8th grade) international standardized student assessments. The methodology is the […]| Anatoly Karlin
It is not a secret to longtime readers of this blog that I rate India’s prospects far more pessimistically than I do China’s. My main reason is I do not share the delusion that democracy is a panacea and that whatever advantage in this sphere India has is more than outweighed by China’s lead in any number […]| Anatoly Karlin
How will the global South fare in our likely future of energy shortages, climate change and resource nationalism (and wars)? India has China’s population mass, but lacks its industrial dynamism and human capital. Africa has Russia’s energy and mineral wealth, but not the military power or social coherence to defend it. South America’s prospects appear brighter […]| Anatoly Karlin
There are several ways to influence national mean IQ levels. One is to improve nutrition and education, but vitally important though they are, they suffer from diminishing returns as populations bump up against their genetic ceilings. Another is to promote eugenic policies, or at least policies to mitigate the dysgenic trends that are typical of […]| Anatoly Karlin
What are the reasons behind the wealth and poverty of nations? Since this question has exercised the minds of thinkers from Adam Smith to David Landes, Jared Diamond and Richard Lynn, I decided to take a look at it myself. I came to the conclusion that while geography, macroeconomic policies, resource windfalls and the microeconomic […]| Anatoly Karlin
Where did it all go wrong in Russia? Maria Pevchikh explains how liberal "reformers" and oligarchs looted the Russian state, and then appointed a corrupt, nondescript Chekist to power to guarantee their own immunity and ill-gotten gains. The post Film Review: Traitors (Предатели) appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
The Kremlins Didn't Do It But Even If They Did Navalny Deserved It Anyway The post Navalny Died a Barin appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
Why I Used to Suck, and (Hopefully) Now Suck Even Harder The post Intellectual Restructuring appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
Oppenheimer (2023) ★★★ Although Oppenheimer is a solid and historically accurate film, it is overly long - making its missed opportunities all the more glaring - and the key dramatic tension rests on speculation that was considered entirely fictional long before 1945. The post Film Review: Oppenheimer appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
Barbie (2023) ★★★★★ This might be a "Woke" film, but it is Wokeness with a human cafe. The post Film Review: Barbie appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
Some modest suggestions for AI terminology of a fantastical nature The post Genies, Golems, Demiurge appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
The cryptocurrency space can provision a putative malevolent AI with discrete decentralized compute, storage, and opportunities for secure accumulation of cryptographic assets and social capital. Consequently, there might be an AI Control Trilemma: Ban further AI software development; cap hardware; criminalize crypto - pick two. The post AI x Crypto Risks, or: Is it TIME for Jail Szn? appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
The coming of AI has made Universal Basic Income a political and technological inevitability in the long-term, regardless of whether there are extensive attempts at AI control. The post UBI Is Programmed. (Like It or Not) appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
Twitter Space debate with Roko Mijic about feasibility and desirability of AI control. The post AI Safety Debate with Roko appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
In this podcast with Noah Carl, I make the case that a prolonged stalemate is programmed, assuming continued Russian mobilization prevents Ukrainian victory, and the materiel balance doesn't shift sharply to either party. The post The Z of History: 13 Months of Commentary appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
> Как Россия может еще выиграть... The post Как тебе такое, Илон Маск? appeared first on Anatoly Karlin.| Anatoly Karlin
Wheel of Time: Season 1 (2022) ★ Rafe's adaptation of Robert Jordan's world of eternal return keeps your eyes glued to the screen just on account of how utterly bad and cringe it is.| Anatoly Karlin
Sometimes, it is much simpler to expound upon one’s views on a subject by replying to and arguing against an […]| Anatoly Karlin
As human capital is so important for prosperity, it behoves us to know China’s in detail to assess whether it will continue converging on developed countries. Until recently the best data we had were disparate IQ tests (on the basis of which Richard Lynn’s latest estimate is an IQ of 105.8 in his 2012 book […]| Anatoly Karlin
Why the Right-Wing Ideology is Programmed to Keep Losing Until the End of Time| Anatoly Karlin
My Proud March from Russian Ultra-Nationalism to The Big Gay| Anatoly Karlin
Z Is The Last Letter in the Alphabet. What Were You Expecting?| Anatoly Karlin
Comments thread to "Intellectual Restructuring" post.| Anatoly Karlin
Less Butter and Fewer Friends, But More Guns As China's economy slows down ahead of expectations and it loses its luster abroad, it's hard power seems set to acquire a bigger profile.| Anatoly Karlin
Taking sides in vicious tribal conflicts is dumb as fuck and is going to boomerang back on you.| Anatoly Karlin
The Ukraine War will begin imminently, and Russian TOTAL VICTORY is programmed. Narrator...| Anatoly Karlin
The logical case for why war a Russian invasion of Ukraine is imminent.| Anatoly Karlin
Announcement of Departure from The Unz Review The Wheel Turns, Ages Come and Go, And Thus Dies the Russian Reaction| Anatoly Karlin
How Putin Created the Russian National State In the capstone to my Russia watching career, I argue that late Putinism has adopted the Russian nationalist program near wholesale. Or so it seemed at the time...| Anatoly Karlin