GiveWell has a major flaw in the way that it deals with uncertainty in its decision-making process. Namely: it (mostly) doesn’t, and that has serious implications on the reliability of its mo…| MetaCausal
A few weeks ago, I was approached to guide public-facing strength of evidence assessments for two separate projects related to COVID-19. I got a hold of a few folks (main credit to Emily Smith here…| MetaCausal
This was an organized chat about how how clinical trials are impacting and are impacted by COVID-19. The original chat took place on April 15, 2020. Since then several major trials have had partial…| MetaCausal
Editor’s note: The transcript below is lightly edited from the original transcript for clarity. For a human-oriented explainer on what p-values are (and are not), see “A Practical Prime…| MetaCausal
Welcome to the first of a series of chat posts, in which we get a handful of experts together to chat about important issues in the world of health science and statistics. We’ll be hosting th…| MetaCausal
Just a quick announcement: Disappointed and concerned about the state of statistical health science? So are we. We made our mega project plans based on the CLAIMS study public. It’s all avail…| MetaCausal
Standard heath research dogma dictates that the “correct” way for authors to deal with weak causal inference is to just call it association. Papers that say that coffee is “associ…| MetaCausal
At the time of this writing, five media articles were written about the CLAIMS study, four unique press releases, and a few copies in different outlets, have been published. We have them all listed…| MetaCausal
There is a recent trend among the health statisticians to discourage the use of p-values, commonly used to define as a threshold at which something is “statistically significant.” Stati…| MetaCausal
The following is the opinion of the author, and does not necessarily reflect scientific findings or theory. Yesterday, a large group of national science funders across Europe announced that they we…| MetaCausal