In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen’s Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…| William M. Briggs
I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…| William M. Briggs
I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…| William M. Briggs
Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn’t true. It can’t see all evidence. Here’s how to do it right. Video Links: YouTube * Twitter – X * Rumble *…| William M. Briggs
I don’t often discuss cheating in science, because the conclusion “It’s bad, don’t do it” doesn’t need explication. Even those cheating are clever enough to swear to the conclusion’s truth.…| William M. Briggs
My heart soared like a hawk by the hundreds of supportive comments I got on Twitter from last week’s story about two academics who want government to genetically modify ticks so that more peo…| William M. Briggs
The title today is identical to the peer-reviewed paper of the same name in Theory and Society by BVE Hyde. Hyde begins: “This study begins by outlining the transparency paradox:…| William M. Briggs
A guy correctly “sees” 4 cards out of 52. A wee P hypothesis test says he has psychic powers. Does he? We only begin this difficult question today. Video Links:…| William M. Briggs
What do you make of this headline? “Female pilots perform better under pressure, study finds”. Story opens thusly: Female pilots may outperform their male counterparts in high-pressure …| William M. Briggs
A stupid man will make stupid mistakes. He will show up on TV being escorted into the back of a police cruiser. An intelligent man will make intelligent mistakes. He…| William M. Briggs
“Death is not simply a biological fact,” tweeted Sandeep Jauhar, “but it’s also a social choice.” Death has become a social choice? He continues: “To increase th…| William M. Briggs
A lady says she has the ability to identify whether tea or milk is poured in a cup first. What does “have the ability mean?” and why is it so hard to figure probabilities for it? Video …| William M. Briggs
The If I Were God Fallacy runs like this: If I were God, here is how the world would work;The world does not work like that;Therefore, God does not exist.…| William M. Briggs
Incidentally, the header image is genuine and not AI. I still wonder why the right did not embrace the left’s call to defund police. Think about no police. Think long and hard. After the peri…| William M. Briggs
This classic column originally ran on 1 July 2008 under a different title. The original typos, placed by relentless enemies, have been removed. I have also added a serious-minded video from the Tat…| William M. Briggs
This classic column originally ran 31 July 2008. I edited it to provide a working link to the paper and to add the author’s Fig. 1. I have no idea, but two gentlemen from the Johnson School o…| William M. Briggs
Since this is typically the slowest week of the year—even Christmas is busier—this is a good time to introduce something strange. About twenty years ago I wrote a skeptical (do not forg…| William M. Briggs
So this squeezy squeaky gaunt gasping little apparatchik, obviously not suffering the burdens and responsibilities of possessing a great intellect, an Expert and functionary in the British Regime, …| William M. Briggs
Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes’s book (first part): Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whateve…| William M. Briggs
In England, fed up at last, a few hearty Englishmen took to the streets to demonstrate to their rulers that they were displeased with rulers’ behavior. Rulers there, as here and elsewhere acr…| William M. Briggs
Now I know I am a mere puff of air in the typhoon of online discourse, but I do wish I could borrow a few decibels to make this one point stick: never use the enemy’s language. For a prime ex…| William M. Briggs
One of the most important rulers in the world announced, in public, out loud, with no fear of threat, that she and her fellow rulers will steal “no less than THREE TRILLION in new capital, fr…| William M. Briggs
My friends, as arcane as all this seems, we will need this in the Restoration. We need to restore Reality in all things, including Science. Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble …| William M. Briggs
The Big Toe Science has known for some time now that bodies exist only to perpetuate big toes. Big toes, or similar appendages on other creatures, including those nascent toe-like organelles found …| William M. Briggs
Catholic philosopher Wolfgang Smith died last Friday at age 94. Smith was one of the first in the movement to restore classical metaphysics to physics. Recall all physics must operate with a metaph…| William M. Briggs
UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne’s Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack)…| William M. Briggs
