August | 2025 | Surplus Energy Economics
1 post published by drtimmorgan during August 2025| Surplus Energy Economics
1 post published by drtimmorgan during August 2025| Surplus Energy Economics
THE CENTRE CANNOT HOLD Foreword The central thesis of Surplus Energy Economics is the need to draw a clear analytical distinction between the “real” economy of material products and services and th…| Surplus Energy Economics
2 posts published by drtimmorgan during July 2025| Surplus Energy Economics
THE POLITICS OF ECONOMIC CONTRACTION Foreword The great fact of our times – “everywhere visible, nowhere acknowledged” – is the ending and reversal of economic growth. In Henry’s paradox, we looked…| Surplus Energy Economics
3 posts published by drtimmorgan during April 2024| Surplus Energy Economics
1 post published by drtimmorgan during June 2025| Surplus Energy Economics
THE BUSINESS OF ECONOMIC CONTRACTION Foreword As you may know, it seems clear that the World economy has either already stopped growing and started to shrink, or will have done so by 2030. Some readers are interested in the theoretical … Continue reading →| Surplus Energy Economics
A LONG-DENIED INEVITABILITY “I did do my school homework, but I can’t hand it in because the dog ate it”. “I’d gladly pay for dinner, but a spaceman from Mars stole my wallet”. “The World economy i…| Surplus Energy Economics
2 posts published by drtimmorgan during March 2024| Surplus Energy Economics
1 post published by drtimmorgan during February 2024| Surplus Energy Economics
DID THE ECONOMY INFLECT IN 2023? Though much further analysis remains to be conducted, it’s starting to look as though the global economy may have peaked in 2023. If this is indeed the case, then w…| Surplus Energy Economics
VANISHING POINTS, ANGLES OF CAPSIZE There is a vanishing point in art, best illustrated by the way in which railway lines, though physically parallel, converge, through the effect of distance, towards a single point at the horizon. There is, too, … Continue reading →| Surplus Energy Economics
THE CONSEQUENCES OF COLLECTIVE SELF-DELUSION As some readers will know, I recently chose to use a period of necessary travel to isolate myself, for a space, from all forms of purported “news” and “information”. It is something that I can … Continue reading →| Surplus Energy Economics
THE NEW-AND-OLD MATRIX OF SYSTEMIC RISK Foreword There has, as I am well aware, been a lengthy hiatus since the previous article was published here on 26th February. Far from being a matter of indo…| Surplus Energy Economics
WHY MONEY AND TECHNOLOGY WILL FAIL Shortly after the 1980s had come to an end, a record label issued a pop-rock compilation album subtitled “all the music that matters from a decade that didn’t”. L…| Surplus Energy Economics
AGENCY, VISIBILITY & CHAINED CAUSALITY Whenever some economic crisis or challenge arises, finance ministers, central bankers and officials are expected to respond, choosing appropriate policies…| Surplus Energy Economics
SUBMITTING TO THE INESCAPABLE Foreword This article marks a planned change of direction for Surplus Energy Economics, and not just in the provision of downloadable SEEDS data for readers. The case …| Surplus Energy Economics
FACT, PERCEPTION AND A LOOMING CRISIS Although this site is dedicated to the rigorous analysis of measurable economic and financial trends, there are times when intuition must be allowed some latit…| Surplus Energy Economics
THE VARIABLE GEOMETRY OF MONEY Measured as a system which supplies physical products and services to society, the global economy was 29% larger in 2023 than it had been in 2003. By contrast, best e…| Surplus Energy Economics
SCOPING THE COMING CRISIS As you may know, the central contention of the Surplus Energy Economics thesis is the absolute necessity of thinking in terms of two economies. These are the “real” econom…| Surplus Energy Economics
THE REALITY OF EXTEND-AND-PRETEND The great unspoken fact of the 1930s was that the world was drifting to war, a trend that nobody knew how to stop. The great unspoken fact of the 2020s is that the…| Surplus Energy Economics
GOVERNMENT AND ECONOMIC INFLEXION There’s nothing new about conspiracy theories – we’ve long been invited to believe that the security services assassinated JFK, or that the Moon landing was faked,…| Surplus Energy Economics
THE COMING FINANCIAL CRASH One question, above all others, has dominated our recent discussions here. This is the issue of whether the financial system will fracture as the underlying “real” or mat…| Surplus Energy Economics
WORSENING STRESSES IN AN INFLECTING ECONOMY As almost everyone must have noticed by now, economic and broader affairs are in a strange state of uneasy limbo. The economy certainly hasn’t ‘collapsed…| Surplus Energy Economics
