Longtermism is the view that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority of our time.[1][2] Longtermism may be seen as following from the conjunction of three core claims:[3] 1. Future people matter morally. 2. If Earth-originating intelligence is not prematurely extinguished, the vast majority of people that will ever exist will exist in the future. 3. People alive today can predictably influence whether these people exist and how well their lives go. Types of l...| forum.effectivealtruism.org
The long-term future focuses on possible ways in which the future of humanity may unfold over long timescales. Bostrom's typology of possible scenarios Nick Bostrom has identified four broad possibilities for the future of humanity.[1] First, humans may go prematurely extinct. Since the universe will eventually become inhospitable, extinction is inevitable in the very long run. However, it is also plausible that people will die out far before this deadline. Second, human civilization may plat...| forum.effectivealtruism.org
This is a transcript of a conversation between Paul Christiano and Eliezer Yudkowsky, with comments by Rohin Shah, Beth Barnes, Richard Ngo, and Hold…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
The EA Forum hosts research, discussion, and updates on the world's most pressing problems. Including global health and development, animal welfare, AI safety, and biosecurity.| forum.effectivealtruism.org
When H.R.1 (the "Big Beautiful Bill") passed in the U.S. on July 4th, I wondered what it meant for farmed animals. So, I decided to use AI to do a qu…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
A crucial consideration is a consideration that warrants a major reassessment of a cause or intervention. The concept was introduced by Nick Bostrom in a 2007 article[1] and applied in subsequent publications.[2][3] Related concepts Besides introducing the concept of a crucial consideration, Bostrom introduced two other related concepts. First, a crucial consideration component, or a consideration that is not itself a crucial consideration, but has the potential to become one when conjoined ...| forum.effectivealtruism.org
(I am writing this post under a pseudonym because I don’t want potential future non-EA employers to find this with a quick google search. Initially m…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Work on global health and development can involve improving public health, reducing poverty, or increasing economic growth, especially in low-income countries, where these issues tend to be most pressing. In 2013, roughly 767 million people lived on less than the equivalent of $1.90 per day, adjusted for purchasing power.[1] Lack of economic resources directly affects many aspects of people’s lives, including access to education and healthcare. Poverty and poor health also seriously hinder...| forum.effectivealtruism.org
What is the definition of Effective Altruism? What claims does it make? What do you have to believe or do, to be an Effective Altruist? …| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Hello AstralCodexTen readers! You might also enjoy this series on estimating value, or my forecasting newsletter. And for the estimation language u…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Summary • As part of a Centre for Effective Altruism (CEA) grant, I have updated the cost effectiveness of preparing for agricultural catastrophes su…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
This is a linkpost to a notebook I've written which uses Squiggle to quantify uncertainty in GiveWell's estimate of cost per death averted by the Aga…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Summary * The most popular career paths that effective altruists in the survey (EAs) plan to follow are in earning to give roles (38%) and working a…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Summary I have consolidated publicly available grants data from EA organizations into a spreadsheet, which I intend to update periodically[1]. Totals…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
In my cost-effectiveness estimate of corporate campaigns, I wrote a list of all the ways in which my estimate could be misleading. I thought it could…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Paul Christiano, a researcher at OpenAI, discusses the current state of research on aligning AI with human values: what’s happening now, what needs t…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Summary Currently, we can’t compare the impact of speculative interventions in a principled way. When making a decision about where to work or donate…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
➡️ Effective altruism is a joint effort. Our goal is to make the EA Forum a great space for collaborative discussion about how to do the most good w…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Effective altruism (EA) is an ongoing project to find the best ways to do good, and put them into practice. This series of articles will introduce you to some of the core thinking tools behind effective altruism, share some of the arguments about which global problems are most pressing, and help you to reflect on how you personally can contribute.| forum.effectivealtruism.org
EA Survey 2020: Community Demographics • Summary * We collected 2,166 valid responses from EAs in the survey * The composition of the EA community…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
A certificate of impact (also known as an impact certificate) is a kind of altruistic instrument at the center of a funding model proposed by Paul Christiano. Certificates of impact attempt to harness the benefits of the price system in altruistic contexts, where prices are usually unavailable. In this model, altruistic work receives some or all of its funding after completion rather than beforehand. Once an individual or organization completes work with a positive social impact, they can app...| forum.effectivealtruism.org
Summary • Background The FTX Foundation’s Future Fund publicly launched in late February. We're a philanthropic fund that makes grants and investmen…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
I sent a two-question survey to ~117 people working on long-term AI risk, asking about the level of existential risk from "humanity not doing enough…| forum.effectivealtruism.org
