As Donald Trump wastes no time in shaping US foreign policy in his image, Taiwan faces significant challenges in its relationship with the US. Trump's "America First" policy and transactional approach to diplomacy have raised concerns about the future of US-Taiwan relations and Washington’s (implicit) commitment to defend the island.| CEIAS
The United States' growing emphasis on fortifying the second island chain in the Indo-Pacific has sparked concerns about potential vulnerabilities in the first chain, prompting a reevaluation of regional defense strategies and alliances.| CEIAS
In 2020, Taiwan’s Ministry of Defense began reporting Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) intrusion data. Since then, the number of incursions by China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has substantially increased. These intrusions involve a variety of aircraft, including fighters, bombers, antisubmarine platforms, airborne early warning systems, reconnaissance aircraft, and signal intelligence planes. The average number of monthly incidents increased from 81 in 2021 to 178 in the fir...| CEIAS
European states should aid a Taiwanese bid to join the International Criminal Court (ICC), a symbolic statement of values as well as a substantive move to integrate Taiwan into the global community and preserve peace in the Indo-Pacific. Key takeaways: Compared with joining UN-led multilateral organizations, joining the ICC’s jurisdiction would require a simple unilateral… Continue reading Europe should embrace Taiwan inside the International Criminal Court| CEIAS
Regimes in Myanmar, Vietnam and Laos should note the uprising that ousted Sheikh Hasina.The overthrow of Bangladesh’s Sheikh Hasina earlier this month wouldn’t have pleased Southeast Asia’s autocrats. Some have been more open than others about their concerns.| CEIAS
Between July 9 and 11, the 75th NATO Summit was held in Washington, D.C., with most of the attention on the ongoing war in Ukraine. Another significant topic that garnered attention was the Indo-Pacific and NATO's evolving role in the region, reflecting a broader recognition of the Indo-Pacific’s strategic importance for the United States and the whole alliance. As geopolitical tensions rise, particularly concerns over China's growing influence and assertiveness, NATO's presence in the Indo...| CEIAS
Southeast Asian nations such as Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam, but also ASEAN, are hedging toward both China and the United States. However, China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea may cause some countries, notably the Philippines, to reconsider their hedging strategy. Undermining the hedging behavior of Southeast Asian countries, however, will not improve the security and influence of China – or the United States – but would rather make the region less safe and stable.| CEIAS
In quashing one political threat, the country’s conservative establishment may have created an even bigger one.| CEIAS
Welcome to the 55th issue of the CEEasia Briefing.In this issue, we dissect the following topics:Orban's visit to BeijingChina-Belarus military drillsSouth Korea wins the Dukovany nuclear tenderModi in Moscow| CEIAS
The Vietnamese Communist Party lost its long-ruling chief earlier this month, and his death could spell trouble for the EU’s cordial relationship with Hanoi. Vietnam’s new leaders, including recently installed President To Lam, have little interest in breaking with Hanoi’s tried-and-tested foreign policy of finding a balance between all powers, analysts say. But their lack of… Continue reading With Nguyen Phu Trong gone, are EU-Vietnam ties at risk?| CEIAS
Dear friends, Welcome to the 54th issue of the CEEasia Briefing. In this issue, we dissect the following topics: EU provisional import tariffs on EVs made in China EU defense industry partnerships with Japan & South Korea Modi at the G7 summit in Italy If you like what you see, please forward this message to your… Continue reading CEEasia Briefing #54: EU tariffs on EV’s from China, EU defense partnership with Japan and ROK, Modi at G7| CEIAS
The 2024 European Parliament (EP) election results raised more questions than answers for Chinese commentators. The rise of far-right parties was mostly seen as the advent of a new age of disorder, while Chinese analysts expect to see less unity within the bloc, more NATO skepticism, and more pro-Russian voices. Moreover, they perceive the right-wing… Continue reading Chinese Media Watch: A Less United Europe Expected After EP Elections| CEIAS
Starting on Saturday 22 June, President Andrzej Duda of Poland will be paying a five-day state visit to China. While Duda meets his “old friend” Xi Jinping, several warning signs are pointing to a potential re-awakening of China’s cooperation with the broader CEE region under the 14+1 framework.| CEIAS
On 11–12 March 2024, the Central European Institute of Asian Studies (CEIAS) and the Slovak Foreign Policy Association (SFPA) co-hosted the “2024 CEEasia Forum” conference in Bratislava, Slovakia. The two-day policy-oriented conference focused on topics critical to global security and stability in the Euro–Atlantic and Indo–Pacific regions. The initial idea for the event was born… Continue reading 2024 CEEasia Forum Report| CEIAS
For the past week, Taiwan has been gripped by protests ignited by the controversial bills pushed through by the pan-Blue majority in the Legislative Yuan. These demonstrations, which began before President Lai Ching-te’s inauguration, have been named the “Bluebird Movement” and compared to the Sunflower Movement, Taiwan’s major case of civil disobedience from a decade… Continue reading Where Have All the Sunflowers Gone? The New Wave of Civil Disobedience in Taiwan| CEIAS
