Exaggerating the risks Archives - Reflective altruism
Exaggerating the risks (Part 17: Biorisk, taking stock)| Reflective altruism
Exaggerating the risks (Part 17: Biorisk, taking stock)| Reflective altruism
This post begins a two-part investigation into biorisk from LLMs. I argue that a recent GovAI report provides limited support for existential biorisk from LLMs.| Reflective altruism
Toby Ord suggests that humanity faces a 3% risk of existential catastrophe from biological causes in the next 100 years. I review Ord's arguments and argue that they are insufficient to ground this estimate.| Reflective altruism
Can existing arguments by effective altruists ground high estimates of existential biorisk? I consider three estimates provided by Piers Millett and Andrew Snyder-Beattie.| Reflective altruism
Rounding out the initial case for skepticism about existential biorisk, I give four final reasons to suspect that existential biorisk may be lower than many claim it to be.| Reflective altruism
Continuing my treatment of existential biorisk, I give four further reasons to suspect that existential biorisk may be lower than many claim it to be.| Reflective altruism
Effective altruists often argue that biological phenomena pose a significant near-term existential risk. In this post, I give some preliminary reasons to doubt that claim.| Reflective altruism
Many effective altruists think that humanity faces high levels of existential risk. In this series, I look at some places where the risks may have been exaggerated.| Reflective altruism
I review Wlil MacAskill's arguments in What we owe the future for high levels of existential biorisk. I argue that they are insufficient.| Reflective altruism
Experts give their opinions about common misconceptions about biosecurity and pandemic prevention. They were granted anonymity for this piece.| 80,000 Hours
